
Stats updated: Sep 10, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Jordan Whittington has gone over 4.5 FS in 5 of his last 7 decided games (71%), measured against our typical-game line.
Whittington played 25 of 61 offensive snaps but saw his playing time elevated some late in the fourth quarter after the Rams pulled their starters. He also saw 13 snaps on special teams, returning four kicks for 94 yards. Whittington may need some injuries ahead of him to be a useful fantasy asset.
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | 7/7 | ||
| 100% | 7/7 | ||
| 71% | 5/7 | ||
| 4.5Current | 71% | 5/7 | |
| 17% | 1/6 | ||
| 0% | 0/7 | ||
| 0% | 0/7 |
Over 4.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
NYG allows 8.5 FS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 3 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
NeutralOver his last 7 games, Jordan Whittington has gone over 4.5 FS 5 of 7 decided times (71%) — versus 71% across the full season. NYG has been a middling matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 21st-most FS of 32 teams (8.5 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game FS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 1.1), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 71%.
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Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.