Los Angeles Rams

Jordan Whittington Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Stats updated: Jan 18, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Jordan Whittington has gone over 4.5 FS in 5 of his last 7 decided games (71%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Texas
Experience: 4 seasons

Line

PrizePicksFantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 4.8 FS · our line

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OutJordan Whittington isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

We've heard this before at a similar time of the year, and while Whittington has seen a few opportunities as the No. 3 receiver, it's rarely amounted to much in terms of routes and targets. The job bounced around between a slew of players last year, including Xavier Smith and Konata Mumpfield, both of whom are still on the team. The Rams also have rookie sixth-round pick CJ Daniels as a dark horse candidate for the job. In any case, the offense likely will use a lot of multi-TE formations, limiting the WR3's snap and route shares.

Verdict

vs 4.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 74% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line74supports it

Consistency61supports it

Projection

5.1 FS(×1.07 context)

L5 4.7 · L10 4.8 · med 5.3

Consistency

Steady

floor 3.7 · ceil 5.5

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 55 games

80%over

4 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 38%–96%

Last 107 games

71%over

5 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 36%–92%

Last 207 games

71%over

5 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 36%–92%

Season7 games

71%over

5 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 36%–92%

Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)

FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate FS line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	100%	7/7
	100%	7/7
	71%	5/7
4.5Current	71%	5/7
	17%	1/6
	0%	0/7
	0%	0/7

Last 7 games — FS per game vs. line 4.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 4.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home100%2/2Low

Away60%3/5Low

Days since last game

3+ days67%4/6Low

Last matchup — @ CHI

Jan 18, 2026

2ndof 32 in FS allowed to wide receivers

CHI allows 10.8 FS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 64 player-games

Favorable

The read

Over his last 7 games, Jordan Whittington has gone over 4.5 FS 5 of 7 decided times (71%) — versus 71% across the full season. CHI has been a favorable matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 2nd-most FS of 32 teams (10.8 per game). His game-to-game FS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 1.1), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 71%.