
Stats updated: Nov 1, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Josh Cameron has gone over 3.5 FS in 4 of his last 4 decided games (100%), measured against our typical-game line.
Pick any line — standard, demon (harder, pays more), goblin (easier, pays less), or an alternate with its payout multiplier — and the whole read updates to it. Only the standard line takes an under; every other variant pays the over only. Each rung’s FireFactor is scored against its OWN payout breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for that payout, not a coin flip — so rungs compare directly. The bar uses the best information available: an exact posted multiplier, else the market’s de-vigged sportsbook odds at that exact line, else a published-payout approximation.
Typical entry payouts (verify in the app — they change and can vary by state): Power Play 2-pick 3×, 3-pick 5×, 4-pick 10×. Flex Play 3-pick 2.25× (1.25× one miss), 4-pick 5× (1.5× one miss), 5-pick 10× (2× / 0.4× on misses), 6-pick 25× (2× / 0.4× on misses).
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Goblins: Adding a goblin lowers the whole entry’s payout multiple (an easier line costs payout). Goblins can only be taken as More and aren’t combinable with everything — the app shows the exact adjusted payout.
Jacksonville didn't need to go to its air-game much given the easy win, and QB Trevor Lawrence threw just 14 passes. None of those went to Cameron -- his only target (which he didn't catch) came from backup signal-caller Quinn Ewers in garbage time. Cameron did log a season-high 52 percent offensive snap share, but game script didn't do him any favors in terms of production. With no catches in three of his seven games this season, Cameron doesn't make for an appealing fantasy asset.
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Over 3.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
BAL allows 11.0 FS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 24 player-games
FavorableOver his last 4 games, Josh Cameron has gone over 3.5 FS 4 of 4 decided times (100%) — versus 100% across the full season. BAL has been a favorable matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 6th-most FS of 32 teams (11.0 per game). His game-to-game FS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 1.4), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 100%.
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Receptions hit rates and trends.
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Receiving TDs hit rates and trends.
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Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.