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New Orleans SaintsKendre Miller
#5 · RB · 6' 0" · 220 lb · 7 games
Too few games this season to read on their own, so 6 of these 7 are carried over from last season. Expect this read to move as the season fills in.
Stats updated: Sep 13, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- TCU
- Experience
- 5 seasons
Line
Rushing Yards · season avg 30.9 RUSH YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutKendre Miller isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Verdict
vs 26.5 RUSH YDSRushing YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 70% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)75supports it
Projection vs line70supports it
Consistency10argues against it
Projection
35.8 RUSH YDS(×1.14 context)
L5 36.8 · L10 30.9 · med 27.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 21.6 · ceil 38.8
Matchup
NR
small sample
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
80%over
4 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 38%–96%Last 107 games
57%over
4 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 25%–84%Last 207 games
57%over
4 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 25%–84%Season7 games
57%over
4 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 25%–84%Alternate lines — Rushing Yards (RUSH YDS)
RUSH YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71% | 5/7 | ||
| 57% | 4/7 | ||
| 57% | 4/7 | ||
| 26.5Current | 57% | 4/7 | |
| 43% | 3/7 | ||
| 43% | 3/7 | ||
| 43% | 3/7 |
Situational splits
Over 26.5 RUSH YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home25%1/4Low
Away100%3/3Low
Days since last game
3+ days67%4/6Low
Next matchup — vs LV
Sep 27, 2026
10thof 32 in RUSH YDS allowed to running backs
LV allows 51.3 RUSH YDS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 3 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
FavorableThe read
Over his last 7 games, Kendre Miller has gone over 26.5 RUSH YDS 4 of 7 decided times (57%) — versus 57% across the full season. LV has been a favorable matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 10th-most RUSH YDS of 32 teams (51.3 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game RUSH YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 16.7), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 57%.