
Stats updated: Sep 13, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Kevin Coleman Jr. has gone over 0.5 FS in 0 of his last 1 decided games (0%), measured against our typical-game line.
Malik Willis missed on both of his pass attempts to Coleman late in the fourth quarter. Coleman's 16 snaps on offense were fourth most among Dolphins wide receivers, and the rookie fifth-rounder figures to operate in a rotational role on offense behind Malik Washington, Caleb Douglas and Chris Bell. Coleman will look to record his first NFL catch in a Week 2 tilt against the 49ers on Sept. 20.
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 0% | 0/1 | |
| 0% | 0/1 | ||
| 0% | 0/1 | ||
| 0% | 0/1 |
Over 0.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
SF allows 9.0 FS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 2 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
NeutralOver his last 1 games, Kevin Coleman Jr. has gone over 0.5 FS 0 of 1 decided times (0%) — versus 0% across the full season. SF has been a middling matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 16th-most FS of 32 teams (9.0 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game FS have been variable (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 0%.
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Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.