
Stats updated: Sep 20, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Makai Lemon has gone over 6 FS in 0 of his last 1 decided games (0%), measured against our typical-game line.
Pick any line — standard, demon (harder, pays more), goblin (easier, pays less), or an alternate with its payout multiplier — and the whole read updates to it. Only the standard line takes an under; every other variant pays the over only. Each rung’s FireFactor is scored against its OWN payout breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for that payout, not a coin flip — so rungs compare directly. The bar uses the best information available: an exact posted multiplier, else the market’s de-vigged sportsbook odds at that exact line, else a published-payout approximation.
Typical entry payouts (verify in the app — they change and can vary by state): Power Play 2-pick 3×, 3-pick 5×, 4-pick 10×. Flex Play 3-pick 2.25× (1.25× one miss), 4-pick 5× (1.5× one miss), 5-pick 10× (2× / 0.4× on misses), 6-pick 25× (2× / 0.4× on misses).
Demons: Adding a demon raises the whole entry’s payout multiple (a harder line buys a bigger multiplier). Demons can only be taken as More.
Goblins: Adding a goblin lowers the whole entry’s payout multiple (an easier line costs payout). Goblins can only be taken as More and aren’t combinable with everything — the app shows the exact adjusted payout.
Lemon reeled in a three-yard catch on the team's first possession of the game before later adding a pair of receptions that combined to lose eight yards. The Eagles are operating under new offensive coordinator Sean Mannion this season, and they'll look to find more productive ways to get the wide receiver involved Week 2 against the Titans.
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Over 6 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
CHI allows 11.4 FS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 5 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
NeutralOver his last 1 games, Makai Lemon has gone over 6 FS 0 of 1 decided times (0%) — versus 0% across the full season. CHI has been a middling matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 12th-most FS of 32 teams (11.4 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game FS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 0%.
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Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.