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Miami DolphinsMalik Washington Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)
Stats updated: Nov 1, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Malik Washington has gone over 11.5 FS in 3 of his last 6 decided games (50%), measured against our typical-game line.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Virginia
- Experience
- 4 seasons
Line
Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 10.9 FS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutMalik Washington isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Washington was held in check by Detroit's suspect secondary, failing to reel in at least three passes for the first time this season. In addition, his 21 receiving yards were also a season low. The wide receiver has yet to exceed 70 receiving yards in a game this year, and he has reached the end zone only once. Washington will have an opportunity to get back on track against the sputtering Colts in Week 10.
Verdict
vs 11.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)No readFireFactor 0/100· model 23% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)52neutral
Projection vs line23argues against it
Consistency58neutral
Matchup0argues against it
Projection
9.5 FS(×0.82 context)
L5 11.8 · L10 10.9 · med 11.6
Consistency
Steady
floor 8.7 · ceil 12.1
Matchup
F
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 106 games
50%over
3 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–81%Last 206 games
50%over
3 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–81%Season6 games
50%over
3 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–81%Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)
FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 83% | 5/6 | ||
| 67% | 4/6 | ||
| 67% | 4/6 | ||
| 11.5Current | 50% | 3/6 | |
| 17% | 1/6 | ||
| 17% | 1/6 | ||
| 17% | 1/6 |
Situational splits
Over 11.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home67%2/3Low
Away33%1/3Low
Days since last game
3+ days60%3/5Low
Next matchup — @ IND
Nov 15, 2026
30thof 32 in FS allowed to wide receivers
IND allows 7.8 FS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 28 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 6 games, Malik Washington has gone over 11.5 FS 3 of 6 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. IND has been a tough matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 30th-most FS of 32 teams (7.8 per game). His game-to-game FS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 2.8), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.
More Malik Washington research
Malik Washington — full profile→
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Washington Receptions→
Receptions hit rates and trends.
Washington Targets→
Targets hit rates and trends.
Washington Receiving TDs→
Receiving TDs hit rates and trends.
Defense vs Position→
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
NFL Heat Check→
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.