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Pittsburgh SteelersMason Rudolph
#2 · QB · 6' 5" · 235 lb · 2 games
Stats updated: Jan 13, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Oklahoma State
- Experience
- 10 seasons
Line
Passing Yards · season avg 149.0 PASS YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutMason Rudolph isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Rudolph received reps in the two-minute drill Tuesday, outperforming starter Aaron Rodgers and gaining an opportunity that Will Howard and Drew Allar did not have. The 31-year-old veteran quarterback continues to separate as the clear No. 2, and with Rodgers already declaring 2026 his retirement season, it is reasonable to assume that Rudolph could see some regular-season action.
Verdict
vs 148.5 PASS YDSPassing YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 52% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)50neutral
Projection vs line52neutral
Consistency75supports it
Projection
150.0 PASS YDS
L5 149.0 · L10 149.0 · med 149.0
Consistency
Steady
floor 135.8 · ceil 162.2
Matchup
B
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 52 games
50%over
1 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%Last 102 games
50%over
1 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%Last 202 games
50%over
1 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%Season2 games
50%over
1 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%Alternate lines — Passing Yards (PASS YDS)
PASS YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50% | 1/2 | ||
| 50% | 1/2 | ||
| 50% | 1/2 | ||
| 148.5Current | 50% | 1/2 | |
| 50% | 1/2 | ||
| 50% | 1/2 | ||
| 50% | 1/2 |
Situational splits
Over 148.5 PASS YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home0%0/1Low
Away100%1/1Low
Days since last game
3+ days100%1/1Low
Last matchup — @ CHI
Nov 23, 2025
13thof 32 in PASS YDS allowed to quarterbacks
CHI allows 228.1 PASS YDS per game to quarterbacks (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 20 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 2 games, Mason Rudolph has gone over 148.5 PASS YDS 1 of 2 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. CHI has been a middling matchup for quarterbacks this season, allowing the 13th-most PASS YDS of 32 teams (228.1 per game). His game-to-game PASS YDS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 22.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.