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Atlanta FalconsOlamide Zaccheaus Receptions
Stats updated: Nov 1, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Olamide Zaccheaus has gone over 1.5 REC in 4 of his last 10 decided games (40%), measured against our typical-game line.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Virginia
- Experience
- 9 seasons
Line
Receptions · season avg 2.2 REC · PrizePicks lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
PrizePicks payout options — Receptions (REC)
Pick any line — standard, demon (harder, pays more), goblin (easier, pays less), or an alternate with its payout multiplier — and the whole read updates to it. Only the standard line takes an under; every other variant pays the over only. Each rung’s FireFactor is scored against its OWN payout breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for that payout, not a coin flip — so rungs compare directly. The bar uses the best information available: an exact posted multiplier, else the market’s de-vigged sportsbook odds at that exact line, else a published-payout approximation.
How PrizePicks payouts work with demons & goblins
Typical entry payouts (verify in the app — they change and can vary by state): Power Play 2-pick 3×, 3-pick 5×, 4-pick 10×. Flex Play 3-pick 2.25× (1.25× one miss), 4-pick 5× (1.5× one miss), 5-pick 10× (2× / 0.4× on misses), 6-pick 25× (2× / 0.4× on misses).
Demons: Adding a demon raises the whole entry’s payout multiple (a harder line buys a bigger multiplier). Demons can only be taken as More.
Goblins: Adding a goblin lowers the whole entry’s payout multiple (an easier line costs payout). Goblins can only be taken as More and aren’t combinable with everything — the app shows the exact adjusted payout.
OutOutOlamide Zaccheaus isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Zaccheaus didn't play in the Week 7 meeting with the 49ers due to a shoulder injury. He was limited during practice throughout the week, though it wasn't enough to avoid a questionable designation for Sunday's divisional clash with Tampa Bay. While the wideout was in danger of missing this contest, he will avoid a second consecutive absence. Zaccheaus has only four catches (11 targets) for 17 yards in six regular-season games in 2026. He also holds a role on special teams as a return man.
Verdict
vs 1.5 RECReceptionsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 44% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)67supports it
Projection vs line44neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Matchup25argues against it
Projection
1.3 REC(×0.91 context)
L5 1.0 · L10 1.2 · med 1.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 1.0 · ceil 2.8
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.
Last 55 games
20%over
1 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%Last 1010 games
40%over
4 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%Last 2017 games
59%over
10 over · 7 under
Medium confidence95% CI 36%–78%Season17 games
59%over
10 over · 7 under
Medium confidence95% CI 36%–78%Situational splits
Over 1.5 REC by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home33%3/9Low
Away88%7/8Medium
Days since last game
3+ days56%9/16Medium
With a teammate out
How this REC line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Bijan Robinson out+1.6 REC when he sits
Without (13g)
2.6 REC
69% over 1.5
With (4g)
1.0 REC
25% over 1.5
Drake London out+1.6 REC when he sits
Without (13g)
2.6 REC
69% over 1.5
With (4g)
1.0 REC
25% over 1.5
Next matchup — vs CIN
Nov 8, 2026
25thof 32 in REC allowed to wide receivers
CIN allows 3.0 REC per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 25 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Olamide Zaccheaus has gone over 1.5 REC 4 of 10 decided times (40%) — versus 59% across the full season. CIN has been a tough matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 25th-most REC of 32 teams (3.0 per game). His game-to-game REC have been highly variable (σ ≈ 1.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Market edgeauto
6 books @ 1.5 REC- No-vig fair (over)
- 48.8%
- No-vig fair (under)
- 51.2%
Best Over
BetMGM+105
+0.1% EV
Best Under
DraftKings-107
-1.0% EV
Model vs market (over)-4.9%
Our model puts the over at 44.0% vs the market's no-vig 48.8%. A comparison of two numbers — not a guarantee.
Line shopping — Receptions (REC)
Each book’s line and your season over rate at that number, vs the market consensus (1.5 REC). A softer number you’d clear more often is a discount — the best one lifts the FireFactor read. Click a book to switch the whole read to it.
over rate = season hit rate at that line. Edge = points of hit rate vs the consensus line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 59%.
More Olamide Zaccheaus research
Olamide Zaccheaus — full profile→
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Zaccheaus Targets→
Targets hit rates and trends.
Zaccheaus Receiving TDs→
Receiving TDs hit rates and trends.
Zaccheaus Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)→
Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) hit rates and trends.
Defense vs Position→
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
NFL Heat Check→
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.