Chicago Bears

Roschon Johnson Receiving Yards

Stats updated: Oct 19, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.

Roschon Johnson has gone over 0.5 REC YDS in 0 of his last 2 decided games (0%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Texas
Experience: 5 seasons

Line

PrizePicksReceiving Yards · season avg 0.0 REC YDS · our line

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OutRoschon Johnson isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Verdict

vs 0.5 REC YDSReceiving Yards

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 100% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line95supports it

Projection

0.0 REC YDS

L5 0.0 · L10 0.0 · med 0.0

Consistency

Variable

floor 0.0 · ceil 0.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 52 games

0%over

0 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–66%

Last 102 games

0%over

0 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–66%

Last 202 games

0%over

0 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–66%

Season2 games

0%over

0 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–66%

Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)

REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate REC YDS line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
0.5Current	0%	0/2
	0%	0/2
	0%	0/2
	0%	0/2

Last 2 games — REC YDS per game vs. line 0.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 0.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home0%0/1Low

Away0%0/1Low

Days since last game

3+ days0%0/1Low

Last matchup — vs NO

Oct 19, 2025

30thof 32 in REC YDS allowed to running backs

NO allows 11.3 REC YDS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 35 player-games

Tough

The read

Over his last 2 games, Roschon Johnson has gone over 0.5 REC YDS 0 of 2 decided times (0%) — versus 0% across the full season. NO has been a tough matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 30th-most REC YDS of 32 teams (11.3 per game). His game-to-game REC YDS have been variable (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 0%.