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Dallas CowboysRyan Flournoy
#19 · WR · 6' 1" · 205 lb · 9 games
Too few games this season to read on their own, so 7 of these 9 are carried over from last season. Expect this read to move as the season fills in.
Stats updated: Sep 20, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Southeast Missouri State
- Experience
- 4 seasons
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 51.9 REC YDS · PrizePicks lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
PrizePicks payout options — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
Pick any line — standard, demon (harder, pays more), goblin (easier, pays less), or an alternate with its payout multiplier — and the whole read updates to it. Only the standard line takes an under; every other variant pays the over only. Each rung’s FireFactor is scored against its OWN payout breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for that payout, not a coin flip — so rungs compare directly. The bar uses the best information available: an exact posted multiplier, else the market’s de-vigged sportsbook odds at that exact line, else a published-payout approximation.
How PrizePicks payouts work with demons & goblins
Typical entry payouts (verify in the app — they change and can vary by state): Power Play 2-pick 3×, 3-pick 5×, 4-pick 10×. Flex Play 3-pick 2.25× (1.25× one miss), 4-pick 5× (1.5× one miss), 5-pick 10× (2× / 0.4× on misses), 6-pick 25× (2× / 0.4× on misses).
Demons: Adding a demon raises the whole entry’s payout multiple (a harder line buys a bigger multiplier). Demons can only be taken as More.
Goblins: Adding a goblin lowers the whole entry’s payout multiple (an easier line costs payout). Goblins can only be taken as More and aren’t combinable with everything — the app shows the exact adjusted payout.
OutOutRyan Flournoy isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Flournoy started and saw plenty of playing time, logging 42 of Dallas' 55 offensive snaps. He also got a good amount of looks, with six passes thrown his way. However, Flournoy worked almost exclusively in short yardage, with his longest catch going for a modest 10 yards and his other four receptions accounting for a total of 13 yards. Flournoy is unsurprisingly well behind CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens on the WR depth chart, so his week-to-week production figures to be difficult to bank upon. Dallas next faces the Ravens at home next Sunday.
Verdict
vs 30.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 71% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)67supports it
Projection vs line71supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
54.4 REC YDS(×1.19 context)
L5 53.6 · L10 51.9 · med 34.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 22.6 · ceil 86.4
Matchup
NR
small sample
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 109 games
56%over
5 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 27%–81%Last 209 games
56%over
5 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 27%–81%Season9 games
56%over
5 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 27%–81%Situational splits
Over 30.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home67%2/3Low
Away50%3/6Low
Days since last game
3+ days63%5/8Low
Next matchup — vs BAL
Sep 27, 2026
8thof 32 in REC YDS allowed to wide receivers
BAL allows 56.0 REC YDS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 5 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
FavorableThe read
Over his last 9 games, Ryan Flournoy has gone over 30.5 REC YDS 5 of 9 decided times (56%) — versus 56% across the full season. BAL has been a favorable matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 8th-most REC YDS of 32 teams (56.0 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game REC YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 36.1), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Market edgeauto
4 books @ 30.5 REC YDS- No-vig fair (over)
- 49.9%
- No-vig fair (under)
- 50.1%
Best Over
FanDuel-113
-5.8% EV
Best Under
FanDuel-113
-5.7% EV
Model vs market (over)+20.6%
Our model puts the over at 70.5% vs the market's no-vig 49.9%. A comparison of two numbers — not a guarantee.
Line shopping — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
Each book’s line and your season over rate at that number, vs the market consensus (30.5 REC YDS). A softer number you’d clear more often is a discount — the best one lifts the FireFactor read. Click a book to switch the whole read to it.
over rate = season hit rate at that line. Edge = points of hit rate vs the consensus line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 56%.