
Stats updated: Sep 10, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Stetson Bennett IV has gone over 8.5 RUSH YDS in 1 of his last 1 decided games (100%), measured against our typical-game line.
Bennett came into the game for the Rams' last offensive possession once the game was officially out of reach. The quarterback was effective but couldn't produce any points, as he ran out of time after 10 total plays.
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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RUSH YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | 1/1 | ||
| 100% | 1/1 | ||
| 100% | 1/1 | ||
| 8.5Current | 100% | 1/1 | |
| 0% | 0/1 | ||
| 0% | 0/1 | ||
| 0% | 0/1 |
Over 8.5 RUSH YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
NYG allows 14.0 RUSH YDS per game to quarterbacks (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 1 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
NeutralOver his last 1 games, Stetson Bennett IV has gone over 8.5 RUSH YDS 1 of 1 decided times (100%) — versus 100% across the full season. NYG has been a middling matchup for quarterbacks this season, allowing the 17th-most RUSH YDS of 32 teams (14.0 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game RUSH YDS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 100%.
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Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.