Houston Texans

Tank Dell Receiving TDs

Stats updated: Oct 25, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Tank Dell has gone over 0.5 REC TD in 0 of his last 1 decided games (0%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Houston
Experience: 5 seasons

Line

PrizePicksReceiving TDs · season avg 0.0 REC TD · our line

Save this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it

OutTank Dell isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Dell made his return to action after missing nearly two full years while recovering from a dislocated kneecap and a series of torn ligaments in his left knee. The wide receiver was on the field for only 11 offensive plays, but he made the most of his one target. Dell reeled in a deep ball from C.J. Stroud in the second quarter, churning out a 43-yard gain. With Nico Collins, Marvin Harrison, Xavier Hutchinson, Jaylin Noel (toe) and Kayshon Boutte also in the mix at wide receiver, Dell may have a hard time getting many looks each week.

Verdict

vs 0.5 REC TDReceiving TDs

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 100% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line95supports it

Matchup75supports it

Projection

0.0 REC TD(×0.94 context)

L5 0.0 · L10 0.0 · med 0.0

Consistency

Variable

floor 0.0 · ceil 0.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.

Last 51 game

0%over

0 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–79%

Last 101 game

0%over

0 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–79%

Last 201 game

0%over

0 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–79%

Season1 game

0%over

0 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–79%

Alternate lines — Receiving TDs (REC TD)

REC TD over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate REC TD line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
0.5Current	0%	0/1
	0%	0/1
	0%	0/1
	0%	0/1

Last 1 games — REC TD per game vs. line 0.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 0.5 REC TD by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home0%0/1Low

Next matchup — @ LAC

Nov 8, 2026

22ndof 32 in REC TD allowed to wide receivers

LAC allows 0.2 REC TD per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 25 player-games

Tough

The read

Over his last 1 games, Tank Dell has gone over 0.5 REC TD 0 of 1 decided times (0%) — versus 0% across the full season. LAC has been a tough matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 22nd-most REC TD of 32 teams (0.2 per game). His game-to-game REC TD have been variable (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 0%.