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Jacksonville JaguarsTravis Hunter
#12 · WR · 6' 1" · 185 lb · 5 games
Too few games this season to read on their own, so 5 of these 5 are carried over from last season. Expect this read to move as the season fills in.
Stats updated: Sep 13, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Colorado
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 42.6 REC YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutTravis Hunter isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
It was a slight increase from the four offensive snaps Hunter played in Week 1 against the Browns. The second-year pro mostly saw the field on defense Sunday, playing 37 of 62 defensive snaps (59.7 percent) and finishing with four solo tackles and a pass defense. Hunter's involvement on offense figures to be minimal, given the plethora of targets Trevor Lawrence has at his disposal in Parker Washington, Jakobi Meyers, Brian Thomas and Brenton Strange.
Verdict
vs 33.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 35% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)79supports it
Projection vs line35argues against it
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
51.1 REC YDS(×1.08 context)
L5 42.6 · L10 42.6 · med 33.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 20.6 · ceil 53.8
Matchup
NR
small sample
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 105 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 205 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Season5 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60% | 3/5 | ||
| 60% | 3/5 | ||
| 60% | 3/5 | ||
| 33.5Current | 40% | 2/5 | |
| 40% | 2/5 | ||
| 40% | 2/5 | ||
| 40% | 2/5 |
Situational splits
Over 33.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home33%1/3Low
Away50%1/2Low
Days since last game
3+ days50%2/4Low
Next matchup — vs NE
Sep 27, 2026
18thof 32 in REC YDS allowed to wide receivers
NE allows 41.8 REC YDS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 6 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
NeutralThe read
Over his last 5 games, Travis Hunter has gone over 33.5 REC YDS 2 of 5 decided times (40%) — versus 40% across the full season. NE has been a middling matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 18th-most REC YDS of 32 teams (41.8 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game REC YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 30.6), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 40%.