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Jacksonville JaguarsTravis Hunter
#12 · WR · 6' 1" · 185 lb · 5 games
Stats updated: Nov 5, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Colorado
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 15.0 REC YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutTravis Hunter isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Hunter played six offensive snaps against Baltimore but turned the ball over on his only touch. After posting a 4-59-1 receiving line against the Texans in London back in Week 6, Hunter has done very little on offense. He needs the Jaguars' opponents to make games closer so the coaching staff feels obligated to utilize Hunter's big-play ability.
Verdict
vs 8.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 46% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)79supports it
Projection vs line46neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
13.6 REC YDS
L5 15.0 · L10 15.0 · med 8.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor -0.2 · ceil 19.0
Matchup
A
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 105 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 205 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Season5 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60% | 3/5 | ||
| 60% | 3/5 | ||
| 60% | 3/5 | ||
| 8.5Current | 40% | 2/5 | |
| 20% | 1/5 | ||
| 20% | 1/5 | ||
| 20% | 1/5 |
Situational splits
Over 8.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home50%2/4Low
Away0%0/1Low
Days since last game
3+ days50%2/4Low
Last matchup — @ BAL
Nov 5, 2026
3rdof 32 in REC YDS allowed to wide receivers
BAL allows 56.8 REC YDS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 26 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 5 games, Travis Hunter has gone over 8.5 REC YDS 2 of 5 decided times (40%) — versus 40% across the full season. BAL has been a favorable matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 3rd-most REC YDS of 32 teams (56.8 per game). His game-to-game REC YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 22.4), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Market edgeauto
6 books @ 8.5 REC YDS- No-vig fair (over)
- 50.0%
- No-vig fair (under)
- 50.0%
Best Over
BetMGM-110
-4.5% EV
Best Under
DraftKings-109
-4.1% EV
Model vs market (over)+4.3%
Our model puts the over at 54.3% vs the market's no-vig 50.0%. A comparison of two numbers — not a guarantee.
Line shopping — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
Each book’s line and your season under rate at that number, vs the market consensus (8.5 REC YDS). A softer number you’d clear more often is a discount — the best one lifts the FireFactor read. Click a book to switch the whole read to it.
under rate = season hit rate at that line. Edge = points of hit rate vs the consensus line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 40%.