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New Orleans SaintsZach Wilson
#0 · QB · 6' 2" · 214 lb · 1 games
Stats updated: Jan 4, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- BYU
- Experience
- 7 seasons
Line
Passing Yards · season avg 32.0 PASS YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutZach Wilson isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Not Specified Coach's Decision Not Specified
- Est. return:
- Nov 15, 2026
The former Jet remains the odd-quarterback out for the Saints. Wilson will not be allowed to play in Sunday's contest unless both Tyler Shough and Spencer Rattler leave the game due to injury, illness or ejection.
Verdict
vs 31.5 PASS YDSPassing YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 100% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line95supports it
Consistency100supports it
Projection
31.7 PASS YDS(×0.99 context)
L5 32.0 · L10 32.0 · med 32.0
Consistency
Steady
floor 32.0 · ceil 32.0
Matchup
NR
small sample
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 51 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Last 101 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Last 201 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Season1 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Alternate lines — Passing Yards (PASS YDS)
PASS YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | 1/1 | ||
| 100% | 1/1 | ||
| 100% | 1/1 | ||
| 31.5Current | 100% | 1/1 | |
| 0% | 0/1 | ||
| 0% | 0/1 | ||
| 0% | 0/1 |
Situational splits
Over 31.5 PASS YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Away100%1/1Low
Next matchup — vs CAR
Nov 15, 2026
30thof 32 in PASS YDS allowed to quarterbacks
CAR allows 192.1 PASS YDS per game to quarterbacks (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 8 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
ToughThe read
Over his last 1 games, Zach Wilson has gone over 31.5 PASS YDS 1 of 1 decided times (100%) — versus 100% across the full season. CAR has been a tough matchup for quarterbacks this season, allowing the 30th-most PASS YDS of 32 teams (192.1 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game PASS YDS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 100%.