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Boston BruinsJames Hagens
#44 · C · 5' 11" · 186 lb · 9 games
Stats updated: Nov 5, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- College
- Boston College
- Experience
- Rookie
Line
Shots on Goal · season avg 2.3 SOG · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutJames Hagens isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Back
- Est. return:
- Nov 21, 2026
After being placed on injured reserve early Saturday morning, Hagens' timeline for recovery has been revealed to keep him sidelined for at least the next five or six games. It's an unfortunate break for the Bruins and the 20-year-old winger, as he had posted six goals, 12 points, 34 shots on net and 19 blocked shots over 17 games prior to going down. His absence might hurt his rookie of the year case in the long run, but once he's able to return, he'll give the Bruins' third line a major boost. In his absence, expect the newly recalled Michael Eyssimont, who was named the AHL's player of the month for October, to take his place.
Verdict
vs 2.5 SOGShots on GoalNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 54% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)64supports it
Projection vs line54neutral
Consistency18argues against it
Matchup100supports it
Projection
2.5 SOG(×1.02 context)
L5 2.8 · L10 2.3 · med 2.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 1.0 · ceil 3.4
Matchup
F
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 109 games
44%over
4 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–73%Last 209 games
44%over
4 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–73%Season9 games
44%over
4 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–73%Alternate lines — Shots on Goal (SOG)
SOG over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | 9/9 | ||
| 67% | 6/9 | ||
| 2.5Current | 44% | 4/9 | |
| 22% | 2/9 | ||
| 0% | 0/9 | ||
| 0% | 0/9 |
Situational splits
Over 2.5 SOG by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home60%3/5Low
Away25%1/4Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)100%1/1Low
1 day0%0/2Low
2 days0%0/1Low
3+ days75%3/4Low
Next matchup — vs FLA
Nov 8, 2026
31stof 32 in SOG allowed to forwards
FLA allows 1.5 SOG per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 101 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 9 games, James Hagens has gone over 2.5 SOG 4 of 9 decided times (44%) — versus 44% across the full season. FLA has been a tough matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 31st-most SOG of 32 teams (1.5 per game). His game-to-game SOG have been highly variable (σ ≈ 1.2), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 44%.