Boston Bruins

James Hagens Blocked Shots

Stats updated: Nov 5, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

James Hagens has gone over 0.5 BLKD in 5 of his last 9 decided games (56%), measured against our typical-game line.

College: Boston College
Experience: Rookie

Line

PrizePicksBlocked Shots · season avg 0.9 BLKD · our line

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OutJames Hagens isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Back
Est. return:: Nov 21, 2026

After being placed on injured reserve early Saturday morning, Hagens' timeline for recovery has been revealed to keep him sidelined for at least the next five or six games. It's an unfortunate break for the Bruins and the 20-year-old winger, as he had posted six goals, 12 points, 34 shots on net and 19 blocked shots over 17 games prior to going down. His absence might hurt his rookie of the year case in the long run, but once he's able to return, he'll give the Bruins' third line a major boost. In his absence, expect the newly recalled Michael Eyssimont, who was named the AHL's player of the month for October, to take his place.

Verdict

vs 0.5 BLKDBlocked Shots

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 57% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)67supports it

Projection vs line57neutral

Consistency0argues against it

Projection

0.9 BLKD(×1.04 context)

L5 1.0 · L10 0.9 · med 1.0

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 0.0 · ceil 1.4

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 55 games

60%over

3 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%

Last 109 games

56%over

5 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 27%–81%

Last 209 games

56%over

5 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 27%–81%

Season9 games

56%over

5 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 27%–81%

Alternate lines — Blocked Shots (BLKD)

BLKD over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate BLKD line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
0.5Current	56%	5/9
	22%	2/9
	11%	1/9
	0%	0/9

Last 9 games — BLKD per game vs. line 0.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 0.5 BLKD by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home100%5/5Medium

Away0%0/4Low

Days since last game

0 days (B2B)0%0/1Low

1 day50%1/2Low

2 days0%0/1Low

3+ days75%3/4Low

Last matchup — vs VGK

Nov 2, 2026

16thof 32 in BLKD allowed to forwards

VGK allows 0.5 BLKD per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 113 player-games

Neutral

The read

Over his last 9 games, James Hagens has gone over 0.5 BLKD 5 of 9 decided times (56%) — versus 56% across the full season. VGK has been a middling matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 16th-most BLKD of 32 teams (0.5 per game). His game-to-game BLKD have been highly variable (σ ≈ 1.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 56%.