Edmonton Oilers

Matt Savoie Blocked Shots

Stats updated: May 1, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Matt Savoie has gone over 0.5 BLKD in 3 of his last 10 decided games (30%), measured against our typical-game line.

Experience: Rookie

Line

PrizePicksBlocked Shots · season avg 0.5 BLKD · our line

Save this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it

OutMatt Savoie isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Not Specified Lower Body Not Specified
Est. return:: Nov 24, 2026

By moving Savoie to LTIR, the Oilers will get some cap relief while he is sidelined, as their injuries have started to pile up. The 22-year-old forward logged all 82 regular-season games in his rookie campaign, generating 18 goals and 19 assists, including seven power-play points. Considering Savoie is expected to miss at least the first two weeks of the season, fantasy managers probably shouldn't be expecting him to significantly outperform those numbers in 2026-27.

Verdict

vs 0.5 BLKDBlocked Shots

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 63% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)96supports it

Projection vs line63supports it

Consistency0argues against it

Matchup100supports it

Projection

0.8 BLKD(×0.86 context)

L5 1.0 · L10 0.6 · med 0.0

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 0.0 · ceil 1.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.

Last 55 games

40%over

2 over · 3 under

Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%

Last 1010 games

30%over

3 over · 7 under

Low confidence95% CI 11%–60%

Last 2020 games

25%over

5 over · 15 under

Medium confidence95% CI 11%–47%

Season39 games

36%over

14 over · 25 under

Medium confidence95% CI 23%–52%

Alternate lines — Blocked Shots (BLKD)

BLKD over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate BLKD line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
0.5Current	36%	14/39
	13%	5/39
	5%	2/39
	0%	0/39

Last 20 games — BLKD per game vs. line 0.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 0.5 BLKD by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home43%9/21Medium

Away28%5/18Medium

Days since last game

0 days (B2B)25%1/4Low

1 day29%4/14Medium

2 days25%2/8Low

3+ days50%6/12Low

Next matchup — vs VAN

Nov 8, 2026

32ndof 32 in BLKD allowed to forwards

VAN allows 0.3 BLKD per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 117 player-games

Tough

The read

Over his last 10 games, Matt Savoie has gone over 0.5 BLKD 3 of 10 decided times (30%) — versus 36% across the full season. VAN has been a tough matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 32nd-most BLKD of 32 teams (0.3 per game). His game-to-game BLKD have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.8), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 36%.