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Indiana FeverAliyah Boston
#7 · C · 6' 5" · 220 lb · 24 games
Stats updated: Oct 1, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- College
- South Carolina
- Experience
- 5 seasons
Line
Points · season avg 17.8 PTSSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutAliyah Boston isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Right Knee
- Est. return:
- May 1, 2027
out
Verdict
vs 17.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 47% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)57neutral
Projection vs line47neutral
Consistency50neutral
Projection
17.0 PTS(×0.96 context)
L5 17.6 · L10 16.5 · med 16.5
Consistency
Variable
floor 13.6 · ceil 21.4
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
40%over
4 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%Last 2020 games
50%over
10 over · 10 under
Medium confidence95% CI 30%–70%Season24 games
54%over
13 over · 11 under
Medium confidence95% CI 35%–72%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71% | 17/24 | ||
| 67% | 16/24 | ||
| 58% | 14/24 | ||
| 17.5Current | 54% | 13/24 | |
| 46% | 11/24 | ||
| 33% | 8/24 | ||
| 29% | 7/24 |
Situational splits
Over 17.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home70%7/10Low
Away43%6/14Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)100%1/1Low
1 day38%3/8Low
2 days50%1/2Low
3+ days58%7/12Low
With a teammate out
How this PTS line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Tyasha Harris out · Left Leg Not Specified-2.0 PTS when he sits
Without (5g)
16.2 PTS
60% over 17.5
With (19g)
18.2 PTS
53% over 17.5
Last matchup — @ LV
Oct 1, 2026
10thof 15 in PTS allowed to centers
LV allows 10.8 PTS per game to centers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 40 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Aliyah Boston has gone over 17.5 PTS 4 of 10 decided times (40%) — versus 54% across the full season. LV has been a tough matchup for centers this season, allowing the 10th-most PTS of 15 teams (10.8 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 5.3), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 54%.