Indiana Fever

Aliyah Boston Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Stats updated: Oct 1, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Aliyah Boston has gone over 37.5 FS in 6 of his last 10 decided games (60%), measured against our typical-game line.

College: South Carolina
Experience: 5 seasons

Line

Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 40.6 FS

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OutAliyah Boston isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Right Knee
Est. return:: May 1, 2027

out

Verdict

vs 37.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 49% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)64supports it

Projection vs line49neutral

Consistency63supports it

Projection

38.1 FS(×0.96 context)

L5 37.0 · L10 39.7 · med 38.0

Consistency

Steady

floor 33.7 · ceil 48.3

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 55 games

60%over

3 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%

Last 1010 games

60%over

6 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 31%–83%

Last 2020 games

55%over

11 over · 9 under

Medium confidence95% CI 34%–74%

Season24 games

54%over

13 over · 11 under

Medium confidence95% CI 35%–72%

Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)

FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate FS line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	75%	18/24
	63%	15/24
	61%	14/23
37.5Current	54%	13/24
	46%	11/24
	42%	10/24
	42%	10/24

Last 20 games — FS per game vs. line 37.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 37.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home60%6/10Low

Away50%7/14Low

Days since last game

0 days (B2B)100%1/1Low

1 day63%5/8Low

2 days50%1/2Low

3+ days42%5/12Low

With a teammate out

How this FS line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.

Tyasha Harris out · Left Leg Not Specified-6.7 FS when he sits

Without (5g)

35.3 FS

40% over 37.5

With (19g)

42.0 FS

58% over 37.5

Last matchup — @ LV

Oct 1, 2026

14thof 15 in FS allowed to centers

LV allows 22.5 FS per game to centers (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 40 player-games

Tough

The read

Over his last 10 games, Aliyah Boston has gone over 37.5 FS 6 of 10 decided times (60%) — versus 54% across the full season. LV has been a tough matchup for centers this season, allowing the 14th-most FS of 15 teams (22.5 per game). His game-to-game FS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 9.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 54%.