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Dallas WingsAwak Kuier
#34 · F · 6' 6" · 168 lb · 14 games
Stats updated: Aug 2, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- 5 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Points · season avg 7.9 PTS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 8.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 7/100· model 60% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)56neutral
Projection vs line60supports it
Consistency19argues against it
Projection
7.1 PTS(×0.97 context)
L5 7.2 · L10 6.3 · med 6.5
Consistency
Variable
floor 3.6 · ceil 10.0
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
30%over
3 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 11%–60%Last 2014 games
50%over
7 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 27%–73%Season14 games
50%over
7 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 27%–73%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71% | 10/14 | ||
| 64% | 9/14 | ||
| 57% | 8/14 | ||
| 8.5Current | 50% | 7/14 | |
| 43% | 6/14 | ||
| 14% | 2/14 | ||
| 14% | 2/14 |
Situational splits
Over 8.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home50%3/6Low
Away50%4/8Low
Days since last game
1 day25%1/4Low
2 days67%2/3Low
3+ days50%3/6Low
Last matchup — vs ATL
Jul 29, 2026
10thof 15 in PTS allowed to forwards
ATL allows 9.9 PTS per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 50 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Awak Kuier has gone over 8.5 PTS 3 of 10 decided times (30%) — versus 50% across the full season. ATL has been a tough matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 10th-most PTS of 15 teams (9.9 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 3.8), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Line shopping — Points (PTS)
Each book’s line and your season under rate at that number, vs the market consensus (5.5 PTS). A softer number you’d clear more often is a discount — the best one lifts the FireFactor read. Click a book to switch the whole read to it.
under rate = season hit rate at that line. Edge = points of hit rate vs the consensus line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.