Chicago Sky

Azura Stevens Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Stats updated: Sep 17, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Azura Stevens has gone over 31.5 FS in 5 of his last 10 decided games (50%), measured against our typical-game line.

College: UConn
Experience: 10 seasons

Line

PrizePicksFantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 29.6 FS · our line

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OutAzura Stevens isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Right Knee
Est. return:: Sep 22, 2026

Stevens is dealing with a right knee injury and will miss her first game since Aug. 5. With the veteran forward sidelined, Aicha Coulibaly and Gabriela Jaquez are candidates for increased roles. Stevens' next chance to play will come Tuesday against the Tempo.

Verdict

vs 31.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 40% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)55neutral

Projection vs line40argues against it

Consistency60supports it

Projection

27.5 FS(×0.97 context)

L5 27.5 · L10 30.2 · med 30.6

Consistency

Steady

floor 23.5 · ceil 34.7

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 55 games

20%over

1 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%

Last 1010 games

50%over

5 over · 5 under

Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%

Last 2019 games

53%over

10 over · 9 under

Medium confidence95% CI 32%–73%

Season19 games

53%over

10 over · 9 under

Medium confidence95% CI 32%–73%

Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)

FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate FS line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	63%	12/19
	58%	11/19
	53%	10/19
31.5Current	53%	10/19
	37%	7/19
	26%	5/19
	26%	5/19

Last 19 games — FS per game vs. line 31.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 31.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home83%5/6Low

Away38%5/13Low

Days since last game

0 days (B2B)67%2/3Low

1 day100%3/3Low

2 days75%3/4Low

3+ days25%2/8Low

With a teammate out

How this FS line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.

Skylar Diggins out · Right Knee+0.6 FS when he sits

Without (11g)

29.9 FS

45% over 31.5

With (8g)

29.3 FS

63% over 31.5

Last matchup — @ CON

Aug 25, 2026

14thof 15 in FS allowed to forwards

CON allows 20.9 FS per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 79 player-games

Tough

The read

Over his last 10 games, Azura Stevens has gone over 31.5 FS 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 53% across the full season. CON has been a tough matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 14th-most FS of 15 teams (20.9 per game). His game-to-game FS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 7.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

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Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 53%.