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Connecticut SunBrittney Griner
#42 · C · 6' 9" · 205 lb · 9 games
Stats updated: Aug 13, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- College
- Baylor
- Experience
- 14 seasons
Line
Points · season avg 15.7 PTS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutBrittney Griner isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Left Knee
- Est. return:
- Sep 22, 2026
Griner will miss another game Sunday, and at this point, it's unknown if she will be back on the floor again this season. With Griner, Olivia Nelson-Ododa (knee) and Rayah Marshall (coach's decision) all sidelined, Raegan Beers may be even busier against Minnesota.
Verdict
vs 15.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 41% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)67supports it
Projection vs line41neutral
Consistency39argues against it
Matchup0argues against it
Projection
14.7 PTS(×0.89 context)
L5 17.8 · L10 15.7 · med 16.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 12.6 · ceil 17.2
Matchup
F
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 109 games
56%over
5 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 27%–81%Last 209 games
56%over
5 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 27%–81%Season9 games
56%over
5 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 27%–81%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 78% | 7/9 | ||
| 56% | 5/9 | ||
| 56% | 5/9 | ||
| 15.5Current | 56% | 5/9 | |
| 22% | 2/9 | ||
| 22% | 2/9 | ||
| 22% | 2/9 |
Situational splits
Over 15.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home50%1/2Low
Away57%4/7Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)100%1/1Low
1 day100%1/1Low
2 days100%1/1Low
3+ days40%2/5Low
Next matchup — @ WSH
Sep 22, 2026
15thof 15 in PTS allowed to centers
WSH allows 9.3 PTS per game to centers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 30 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 9 games, Brittney Griner has gone over 15.5 PTS 5 of 9 decided times (56%) — versus 56% across the full season. WSH has been a tough matchup for centers this season, allowing the 15th-most PTS of 15 teams (9.3 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 5.7), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 56%.