
Stats updated: Aug 13, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Brittney Griner has gone over 5.5 REB in 6 of his last 9 decided games (67%), measured against our typical-game line.
Griner will miss another game Sunday, and at this point, it's unknown if she will be back on the floor again this season. With Griner, Olivia Nelson-Ododa (knee) and Rayah Marshall (coach's decision) all sidelined, Raegan Beers may be even busier against Minnesota.
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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REB over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | 9/9 | ||
| 100% | 9/9 | ||
| 89% | 8/9 | ||
| 5.5Current | 67% | 6/9 | |
| 33% | 3/9 | ||
| 33% | 3/9 | ||
| 22% | 2/9 |
Over 5.5 REB by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
PHX allows 6.8 REB per game to centers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 31 player-games
FavorableOver his last 9 games, Brittney Griner has gone over 5.5 REB 6 of 9 decided times (67%) — versus 67% across the full season. PHX has been a favorable matchup for centers this season, allowing the 5th-most REB of 15 teams (6.8 per game). His game-to-game REB have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 2.2), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 67%.
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Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.