Connecticut Sun

Kennedy Burke 3-Pointers Made

Stats updated: Aug 26, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Kennedy Burke has gone over 1.5 3PM in 6 of his last 10 decided games (60%), measured against our typical-game line.

College: UCLA
Experience: 8 seasons

Line

PrizePicks3-Pointers Made · season avg 1.6 3PM · our line

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OutKennedy Burke isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Shoulder Surgery
Est. return:: May 1, 2027

With Connecticut eliminated from playoff contention, Burke is sitting out the remaining four games on the schedule with an eye toward next season. Her absence should allow Nell Angloma and Aaliyah Edwards to handle more playing time. Burke averaged a career-high 8.8 points, 3.2 rebounds and 1.4 assists per contest in 37 games this season.

Verdict

vs 1.5 3PM3-Pointers Made

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 50% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)54neutral

Projection vs line50neutral

Consistency0argues against it

Matchup100supports it

Projection

1.6 3PM(×1.07 context)

L5 1.8 · L10 1.8 · med 2.0

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 0.6 · ceil 3.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 55 games

60%over

3 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%

Last 1010 games

60%over

6 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 31%–83%

Last 2014 games

50%over

7 over · 7 under

Low confidence95% CI 27%–73%

Season14 games

50%over

7 over · 7 under

Low confidence95% CI 27%–73%

Alternate lines — 3-Pointers Made (3PM)

3PM over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate 3PM line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	79%	11/14
1.5Current	50%	7/14
	29%	4/14
	0%	0/14
	0%	0/14

Last 14 games — 3PM per game vs. line 1.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 1.5 3PM by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home50%4/8Low

Away50%3/6Low

Days since last game

2 days0%0/1Low

3+ days50%6/12Low

With a teammate out

How this 3PM line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.

Brittney Griner out · Left Knee-0.7 3PM when he sits

Without (9g)

1.3 3PM

33% over 1.5

With (5g)

2.0 3PM

80% over 1.5

Next matchup — vs MIN

Sep 20, 2026

2ndof 15 in 3PM allowed to guards

MIN allows 1.6 3PM per game to guards (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 104 player-games

Favorable

The read

Over his last 10 games, Kennedy Burke has gone over 1.5 3PM 6 of 10 decided times (60%) — versus 50% across the full season. MIN has been a favorable matchup for guards this season, allowing the 2nd-most 3PM of 15 teams (1.6 per game). His game-to-game 3PM have been highly variable (σ ≈ 1.1), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.