Loading…
Oklahoma City ThunderIsaiah Hartenstein
#55 · C-F · 7-0 · 250 lb · 29 games
Stats updated: Apr 8, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- 2017 · Rd 2, Pick 43
- College
- Zalgiris
- Country
- Germany
- Experience
- 8 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Points · season avg 10.9 PTS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Game-Time DecisionGame-Time DecisionConfirm Isaiah Hartenstein's status before the game.
- Injury:
- Ankle
Hartenstein sat out FIBA qualifiers with Germany to nurse an ankle injury he sustained earlier this summer, so it's encouraging to see him back on the court ahead of training camp in the fall. The 28-year-old big man appears to be firmly on track for the start of the regular season in October, barring any setbacks along the way.
Verdict
vs 10.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 6/100· model 62% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)60supports it
Projection vs line62supports it
Consistency7argues against it
Projection
7.8 PTS(×0.90 context)
L5 7.4 · L10 8.7 · med 9.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 6.0 · ceil 14.4
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice. Game-time decision — confirm status before acting.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.
Last 55 games
0%over
0 over · 5 under
Medium confidence95% CI 0%–43%Last 1010 games
30%over
3 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 11%–60%Last 2020 games
50%over
10 over · 10 under
Medium confidence95% CI 30%–70%Season29 games
48%over
14 over · 15 under
Medium confidence95% CI 31%–66%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69% | 20/29 | ||
| 66% | 19/29 | ||
| 59% | 17/29 | ||
| 10.5Current | 48% | 14/29 | |
| 45% | 13/29 | ||
| 34% | 10/29 | ||
| 28% | 8/29 |
Situational splits
Over 10.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home43%6/14Low
Away53%8/15Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)0%0/2Low
1 day67%10/15Medium
2 days50%1/2Low
3+ days33%3/9Low
Last matchup — vs NYK
Mar 29, 2026
25thof 30 in PTS allowed to centers
NYK allows 12.3 PTS per game to centers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 61 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Isaiah Hartenstein has gone over 10.5 PTS 3 of 10 decided times (30%) — versus 48% across the full season. NYK has been a tough matchup for centers this season, allowing the 25th-most PTS of 30 teams (12.3 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 6.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 48%.