Los Angeles Lakers

Jaxson Hayes 3-Pointers Made

Stats updated: Oct 25, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Jaxson Hayes has gone over 0.5 3PM in 0 of his last 9 decided games (0%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: 2019 · Rd 1, Pick 8
College: Texas
Country: USA
Experience: 8 seasons

Line

PrizePicks3-Pointers Made · season avg 0.0 3PM · our line

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OutJaxson Hayes isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Right Shoulder Soreness
Est. return:: Oct 28, 2026

Hayes will miss the second leg of this back-to-back due to right shoulder soreness after posting nine points, five rebounds, a steal and an assist in 19 minutes during Sunday's loss to the Lakers. That means Kyle Filipowski and Mo Bamba are likely to handle a bigger role off the bench. Hayes' next chance to play will come against the Spurs on Wednesday.

Verdict

vs 0.5 3PM3-Pointers Made

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 100% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line95supports it

Projection

0.0 3PM(×1.02 context)

L5 0.0 · L10 0.0 · med 0.0

Consistency

Variable

floor 0.0 · ceil 0.0

Matchup

small sample

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 55 games

0%over

0 over · 5 under

Medium confidence95% CI 0%–43%

Last 109 games

0%over

0 over · 9 under

Medium confidence95% CI 0%–30%

Last 209 games

0%over

0 over · 9 under

Medium confidence95% CI 0%–30%

Season9 games

0%over

0 over · 9 under

Medium confidence95% CI 0%–30%

Alternate lines — 3-Pointers Made (3PM)

3PM over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate 3PM line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
0.5Current	0%	0/9
	0%	0/9
	0%	0/9
	0%	0/9

Last 9 games — 3PM per game vs. line 0.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 0.5 3PM by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home0%0/3Low

Away0%0/6Medium

Days since last game

1 day0%0/3Low

2 days0%0/1Low

3+ days0%0/4Low

Next matchup — vs POR

Oct 28, 2026

26thof 30 in 3PM allowed to centers

POR allows 0.0 3PM per game to centers (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 1 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution

Tough

The read

Over his last 9 games, Jaxson Hayes has gone over 0.5 3PM 0 of 9 decided times (0%) — versus 0% across the full season. POR has been a tough matchup for centers this season, allowing the 26th-most 3PM of 30 teams (0.0 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game 3PM have been variable (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 0%.