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Orlando MagicPaolo Banchero Points + Rebounds + Assists
Stats updated: Apr 12, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Paolo Banchero has gone over 39.5 PRA in 7 of his last 10 decided games (70%), measured against our typical-game line.
- Draft
- 2022 · Rd 1, Pick 1
- College
- Duke
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- 4 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Points + Rebounds + Assists · season avg 39.0 PRASave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 39.5 PRAPoints + Rebounds + AssistsWarm overFireFactor 22/100· model 55% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)59neutral
Projection vs line55neutral
Consistency66supports it
Projection
41.5 PRA(×1.01 context)
L5 42.0 · L10 42.2 · med 44.5
Consistency
Steady
floor 33.0 · ceil 46.2
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
70%over
7 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 40%–89%Last 2020 games
55%over
11 over · 9 under
Medium confidence95% CI 34%–74%Season50 games
52%over
26 over · 24 under
Medium confidence95% CI 39%–65%Alternate lines — Points + Rebounds + Assists (PRA)
PRA over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62% | 31/50 | ||
| 60% | 30/50 | ||
| 56% | 28/50 | ||
| 39.5Current | 52% | 26/50 | |
| 46% | 23/50 | ||
| 42% | 21/50 | ||
| 38% | 19/50 |
Situational splits
Over 39.5 PRA by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home24%6/25Medium
Away80%20/25Medium
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)29%2/7Low
1 day68%15/22Medium
2 days40%2/5Low
3+ days47%7/15Low
Last matchup — @ BOS
Apr 12, 2026
21stof 30 in PRA allowed to forwards
BOS allows 21.3 PRA per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 158 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Paolo Banchero has gone over 39.5 PRA 7 of 10 decided times (70%) — versus 52% across the full season. BOS has been a tough matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 21st-most PRA of 30 teams (21.3 per game). His game-to-game PRA have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 8.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 52%.
More Paolo Banchero research
Paolo Banchero — full profile→
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Banchero Rebounds→
Rebounds hit rates and trends.
Banchero Assists→
Assists hit rates and trends.
Banchero 3-Pointers Made→
3-Pointers Made hit rates and trends.
Banchero Steals→
Steals hit rates and trends.
Defense vs Position→
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
NBA Heat Check→
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.