Detroit Lions

Anthony Firkser Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Stats updated: Jan 4, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Anthony Firkser has gone over 5.5 FS in 1 of his last 2 decided games (50%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Harvard
Experience: 9 seasons

Line

PrizePicksFantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 5.1 FS · our line

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QuestionableConfirm Anthony Firkser's status before the game.

Injury:: Not Specified Leg Not Specified

Firkser signed with the Lions on Friday to compete for a spot in the tight-end room in the wake of Tyler Conklin's (knee) injury. Firkser now appears to have picked up an injury of his own, and the severity of the issue will likely determine if he can make a push to garner a spot on the team's 2026 roster.

Verdict

vs 5.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)

No readFireFactor 4/100· model 44% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)50neutral

Projection vs line44neutral

Consistency5argues against it

Projection

5.0 FS

L5 5.1 · L10 5.1 · med 5.1

Consistency

Variable

floor 3.4 · ceil 6.8

Matchup

defense vs role

Recent history runs over on this line on a small sample, so read with extra caution. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice. Questionable — confirm status before acting.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 52 games

50%over

1 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%

Last 102 games

50%over

1 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%

Last 202 games

50%over

1 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%

Season2 games

50%over

1 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%

Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)

FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate FS line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	50%	1/2
	50%	1/2
	50%	1/2
5.5Current	50%	1/2
	50%	1/2
	50%	1/2
	0%	0/2

Last 2 games — FS per game vs. line 5.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 5.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home100%1/1Low

Away0%0/1Low

Days since last game

3+ days0%0/1Low

Last matchup — @ CHI

Jan 4, 2026

2ndof 32 in FS allowed to wide receivers

CHI allows 10.8 FS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 64 player-games

Favorable

The read

Over his last 2 games, Anthony Firkser has gone over 5.5 FS 1 of 2 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. CHI has been a favorable matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 2nd-most FS of 32 teams (10.8 per game). His game-to-game FS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 2.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.