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Jacksonville JaguarsBhayshul Tuten
#33 · RB · 5' 9" · 209 lb · 7 games
Stats updated: Nov 1, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Virginia Tech
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Line
Rushing Yards · season avg 70.3 RUSH YDS · PrizePicks lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
PrizePicks payout options — Rushing Yards (RUSH YDS)
Pick any line — standard, demon (harder, pays more), goblin (easier, pays less), or an alternate with its payout multiplier — and the whole read updates to it. Only the standard line takes an under; every other variant pays the over only. Each rung’s FireFactor is scored against its OWN payout breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for that payout, not a coin flip — so rungs compare directly. The bar uses the best information available: an exact posted multiplier, else the market’s de-vigged sportsbook odds at that exact line, else a published-payout approximation.
How PrizePicks payouts work with demons & goblins
Typical entry payouts (verify in the app — they change and can vary by state): Power Play 2-pick 3×, 3-pick 5×, 4-pick 10×. Flex Play 3-pick 2.25× (1.25× one miss), 4-pick 5× (1.5× one miss), 5-pick 10× (2× / 0.4× on misses), 6-pick 25× (2× / 0.4× on misses).
Demons: Adding a demon raises the whole entry’s payout multiple (a harder line buys a bigger multiplier). Demons can only be taken as More.
Goblins: Adding a goblin lowers the whole entry’s payout multiple (an easier line costs payout). Goblins can only be taken as More and aren’t combinable with everything — the app shows the exact adjusted payout.
OutOutBhayshul Tuten isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Tuten fought through the pair of lower-body injuries that made him a game-time decision, recording his fourth rushing touchdown of the campaign on a one-yard run to cap off the opening possession of the contest. The second-year back had to grind for every yard he got on the ground, but fortunately for Tuten, the Jaguars built a comfortable enough lead where he was able to benefit from an early end to his night. Tuten has now scored in back-to-back games, and he'll have some extra time to get healthier ahead of a Week 10 road matchup against the Titans on Sunday, Nov. 15.
Verdict
vs 60.5 RUSH YDSRushing YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 82% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line82supports it
Consistency58neutral
Matchup50neutral
Projection
74.6 RUSH YDS(×1.03 context)
L5 72.2 · L10 70.3 · med 72.0
Consistency
Steady
floor 65.2 · ceil 73.0
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.
Last 55 games
80%over
4 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 38%–96%Last 107 games
86%over
6 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 49%–97%Last 207 games
86%over
6 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 49%–97%Season7 games
86%over
6 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 49%–97%Situational splits
Over 60.5 RUSH YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home80%4/5Low
Away100%2/2Low
Days since last game
3+ days83%5/6Low
Next matchup — @ BAL
Nov 6, 2026
20thof 32 in RUSH YDS allowed to running backs
BAL allows 42.5 RUSH YDS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 15 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 7 games, Bhayshul Tuten has gone over 60.5 RUSH YDS 6 of 7 decided times (86%) — versus 86% across the full season. BAL has been a middling matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 20th-most RUSH YDS of 32 teams (42.5 per game). His game-to-game RUSH YDS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 17.6), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Market edgeauto
4 books @ 61.5 RUSH YDS- No-vig fair (over)
- 49.9%
- No-vig fair (under)
- 50.1%
Best Over
DraftKings-110
-4.6% EV
Best Under
Hard Rock Bet-110
-4.4% EV
Model vs market (over)+32.2%
Our model puts the over at 82.1% vs the market's no-vig 49.9%. A comparison of two numbers — not a guarantee.
Line shopping — Rushing Yards (RUSH YDS)
Each book’s line and your season over rate at that number, vs the market consensus (61.5 RUSH YDS). A softer number you’d clear more often is a discount — the best one lifts the FireFactor read. Click a book to switch the whole read to it.
over rate = season hit rate at that line. Edge = points of hit rate vs the consensus line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 86%.