Jacksonville Jaguars

Bhayshul Tuten Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Stats updated: Jan 11, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Bhayshul Tuten has gone over 5.5 FS in 4 of his last 10 decided games (40%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Virginia Tech
Experience: 3 seasons

Line

PrizePicksFantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 6.5 FS · our line

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OutBhayshul Tuten isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

As Shipley notes, the battle for backfield slotting between Tuten and Rodriguez will be one to monitor closely, but for now Shipley suggests that it looks like Tuten -- who looked sharp during Wednesday's session -- is taking the lead early on. That said, Rodriguez is being eased back into the mix after having undergone an offseason foot procedure, so the competition between the two figures to heat up once he's able to work fully. Either way, with Travis Etienne -- who recorded 260 carries in 17 regular-season games in 2025 -- no longer in the mix, Tuten's role is destined to expand in 2026, but it remains to be seen how the team's carries will be distributed come Week 1, with a committee approach featuring Tuten, Rodriguez and LeQuint Allen, to a lesser degree, a plausible outcome.

Verdict

vs 5.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 41% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)62supports it

Projection vs line41neutral

Consistency0argues against it

Projection

7.2 FS(×1.10 context)

L5 7.5 · L10 5.8 · med 4.9

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 2.1 · ceil 9.3

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 55 games

60%over

3 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%

Last 1010 games

40%over

4 over · 6 under

Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%

Last 2013 games

46%over

6 over · 7 under

Low confidence95% CI 23%–71%

Season13 games

46%over

6 over · 7 under

Low confidence95% CI 23%–71%

Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)

FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate FS line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	69%	9/13
	62%	8/13
	62%	8/13
5.5Current	46%	6/13
	46%	6/13
	46%	6/13
	31%	4/13

Last 13 games — FS per game vs. line 5.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 5.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home43%3/7Low

Away50%3/6Low

Days since last game

3+ days42%5/12Low

With a teammate out

How this FS line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.

Jakobi Meyers out

Without (3g)

6.6 FS

33% over 5.5

With (10g)

6.5 FS

50% over 5.5

Last matchup — vs BUF

Jan 11, 2026

9thof 32 in FS allowed to running backs

BUF allows 11.9 FS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 37 player-games

Favorable

The read

Over his last 10 games, Bhayshul Tuten has gone over 5.5 FS 4 of 10 decided times (40%) — versus 46% across the full season. BUF has been a favorable matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 9th-most FS of 32 teams (11.9 per game). His game-to-game FS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 4.3), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 46%.