Carolina Panthers

Casey Washington Receiving TDs

Stats updated: Oct 26, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.

Casey Washington has gone over 0.5 REC TD in 0 of his last 4 decided games (0%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Illinois
Experience: 4 seasons

Line

PrizePicksReceiving TDs · season avg 0.0 REC TD · our line

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OutCasey Washington isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

With fellow wide receiver Dan Chisena (undisclosed) being placed on injured reserve, Washington will get his chance to contend for a depth role with the 2026 Panthers. The 25-year-old was waived by the Falcons in mid-June, having produced seven receptions for 108 yards over 15 career regular-season games.

Verdict

vs 0.5 REC TDReceiving TDs

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 100% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line95supports it

Matchup50neutral

Projection

0.0 REC TD(×0.99 context)

L5 0.0 · L10 0.0 · med 0.0

Consistency

Variable

floor 0.0 · ceil 0.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 54 games

0%over

0 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–49%

Last 104 games

0%over

0 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–49%

Last 204 games

0%over

0 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–49%

Season4 games

0%over

0 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–49%

Alternate lines — Receiving TDs (REC TD)

REC TD over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate REC TD line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
0.5Current	0%	0/4
	0%	0/4
	0%	0/4
	0%	0/4

Last 4 games — REC TD per game vs. line 0.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 0.5 REC TD by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home0%0/3Low

Away0%0/1Low

Days since last game

3+ days0%0/3Low

Next matchup — @ ARI

Aug 7, 2026

18thof 32 in REC TD allowed to wide receivers

ARI allows 0.3 REC TD per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 52 player-games

Neutral

The read

Over his last 4 games, Casey Washington has gone over 0.5 REC TD 0 of 4 decided times (0%) — versus 0% across the full season. ARI has been a middling matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 18th-most REC TD of 32 teams (0.3 per game). His game-to-game REC TD have been variable (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 0%.