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Jacksonville JaguarsChris Rodriguez Jr.
#24 · RB · 5' 11" · 224 lb · 6 games
Stats updated: Nov 1, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Kentucky
- Experience
- 5 seasons
Line
Rushing Yards · season avg 34.0 RUSH YDS · PrizePicks lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
PrizePicks payout options — Rushing Yards (RUSH YDS)
Pick any line — standard, demon (harder, pays more), goblin (easier, pays less), or an alternate with its payout multiplier — and the whole read updates to it. Only the standard line takes an under; every other variant pays the over only. Each rung’s FireFactor is scored against its OWN payout breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for that payout, not a coin flip — so rungs compare directly. The bar uses the best information available: an exact posted multiplier, else the market’s de-vigged sportsbook odds at that exact line, else a published-payout approximation.
How PrizePicks payouts work with demons & goblins
Typical entry payouts (verify in the app — they change and can vary by state): Power Play 2-pick 3×, 3-pick 5×, 4-pick 10×. Flex Play 3-pick 2.25× (1.25× one miss), 4-pick 5× (1.5× one miss), 5-pick 10× (2× / 0.4× on misses), 6-pick 25× (2× / 0.4× on misses).
Demons: Adding a demon raises the whole entry’s payout multiple (a harder line buys a bigger multiplier). Demons can only be taken as More.
Goblins: Adding a goblin lowers the whole entry’s payout multiple (an easier line costs payout). Goblins can only be taken as More and aren’t combinable with everything — the app shows the exact adjusted payout.
OutOutChris Rodriguez Jr. isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Meanwhile, Bhayshul Tuten (ankle/foot) has been deemed questionable for the contest after being listed as a DNP on each of the Jaguars' injury reports, Monday through Wednesday. Given that Tuten has been the team's lead back this season, his playing status (and potential workload, if he's active Thursday) will provide valuable context related to the Week 9 fantasy prospects of Rodriguez, who could assume a larger backfield role versus Baltimore if Tuten ends up out or limited.
Verdict
vs 31.5 RUSH YDSRushing YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 67% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line67supports it
Consistency35argues against it
Matchup50neutral
Projection
37.3 RUSH YDS(×1.01 context)
L5 36.2 · L10 34.0 · med 36.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 23.0 · ceil 41.0
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
80%over
4 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 38%–96%Last 106 games
67%over
4 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 30%–90%Last 206 games
67%over
4 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 30%–90%Season6 games
67%over
4 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 30%–90%Situational splits
Over 31.5 RUSH YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home75%3/4Low
Away50%1/2Low
Days since last game
3+ days80%4/5Low
Next matchup — @ BAL
Nov 6, 2026
20thof 32 in RUSH YDS allowed to running backs
BAL allows 42.5 RUSH YDS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 15 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 6 games, Chris Rodriguez Jr. has gone over 31.5 RUSH YDS 4 of 6 decided times (67%) — versus 67% across the full season. BAL has been a middling matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 20th-most RUSH YDS of 32 teams (42.5 per game). His game-to-game RUSH YDS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 13.3), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 67%.