New Orleans Saints

CJ Donaldson Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Stats updated: Sep 13, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

CJ Donaldson has gone over 1.5 FS in 0 of his last 1 decided games (0%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Ohio State
Experience: Rookie

Line

PrizePicksFantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 1.2 FS · our line

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OutCJ Donaldson isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Donaldson will join a Saints backfield that is led by Travis Etienne, with Alvin Kamara and Kendre Miller providing depth at the position. Kamara didn't play in the Saints' Week 1 overtime loss to the Lions, with Donaldson being elevated from the practice squad and logging two carries for four yards and one catch for minus-2 yards. Kamara is available for Sunday's game against the Ravens, so Donaldson figures to see most of his playing time on special teams rather than on offense.

Verdict

vs 1.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 100% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line95supports it

Consistency100supports it

Projection

1.3 FS(×1.06 context)

L5 1.2 · L10 1.2 · med 1.2

Consistency

Steady

floor 1.2 · ceil 1.2

Matchup

small sample

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 51 game

0%over

0 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–79%

Last 101 game

0%over

0 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–79%

Last 201 game

0%over

0 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–79%

Season1 game

0%over

0 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–79%

Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)

FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate FS line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	100%	1/1
1.5Current	0%	0/1
	0%	0/1
	0%	0/1
	0%	0/1

Last 1 games — FS per game vs. line 1.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 1.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Away0%0/1Low

Next matchup — vs LV

Sep 27, 2026

19thof 32 in FS allowed to running backs

LV allows 10.6 FS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 1 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution

Neutral

The read

Over his last 1 games, CJ Donaldson has gone over 1.5 FS 0 of 1 decided times (0%) — versus 0% across the full season. LV has been a middling matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 19th-most FS of 32 teams (10.6 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game FS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 0%.