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Houston TexansDalton Schultz
#86 · TE · 6' 5" · 242 lb · 5 games
Stats updated: Oct 25, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Stanford
- Experience
- 10 seasons
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 56.6 REC YDS · PrizePicks lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
PrizePicks payout options — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
Pick any line — standard, demon (harder, pays more), goblin (easier, pays less), or an alternate with its payout multiplier — and the whole read updates to it. Only the standard line takes an under; every other variant pays the over only. Each rung’s FireFactor is scored against its OWN payout breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for that payout, not a coin flip — so rungs compare directly. The bar uses the best information available: an exact posted multiplier, else the market’s de-vigged sportsbook odds at that exact line, else a published-payout approximation.
How PrizePicks payouts work with demons & goblins
Typical entry payouts (verify in the app — they change and can vary by state): Power Play 2-pick 3×, 3-pick 5×, 4-pick 10×. Flex Play 3-pick 2.25× (1.25× one miss), 4-pick 5× (1.5× one miss), 5-pick 10× (2× / 0.4× on misses), 6-pick 25× (2× / 0.4× on misses).
Demons: Adding a demon raises the whole entry’s payout multiple (a harder line buys a bigger multiplier). Demons can only be taken as More.
Goblins: Adding a goblin lowers the whole entry’s payout multiple (an easier line costs payout). Goblins can only be taken as More and aren’t combinable with everything — the app shows the exact adjusted payout.
OutOutDalton Schultz isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
The veteran tight end paced the Texans with his six targets, matching Xavier Hutchinson, as the duo saw one more than Nico Collins on a day when C.J. Stroud targeted nine different pass catchers. Schultz is still looking for his first touchdown of the season and has settled in as a low-ceiling fantasy tight end.
Verdict
vs 33.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 69% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)79supports it
Projection vs line69supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Matchup75supports it
Projection
57.1 REC YDS(×1.06 context)
L5 56.6 · L10 56.6 · med 35.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 32.4 · ceil 64.0
Matchup
B
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 105 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 205 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Season5 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Situational splits
Over 33.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home100%3/3Low
Away0%0/2Low
Days since last game
3+ days50%2/4Low
Next matchup — @ LAC
Nov 8, 2026
8thof 32 in REC YDS allowed to tight ends
LAC allows 30.6 REC YDS per game to tight ends (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 12 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 5 games, Dalton Schultz has gone over 33.5 REC YDS 3 of 5 decided times (60%) — versus 60% across the full season. LAC has been a favorable matchup for tight ends this season, allowing the 8th-most REC YDS of 32 teams (30.6 per game). His game-to-game REC YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 42.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Market edgeauto
4 books @ 34.5 REC YDS- No-vig fair (over)
- 50.0%
- No-vig fair (under)
- 50.0%
Best Over
DraftKings-111
-5.0% EV
Best Under
DraftKings-111
-5.0% EV
Model vs market (over)+19.2%
Our model puts the over at 69.2% vs the market's no-vig 50.0%. A comparison of two numbers — not a guarantee.
Line shopping — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
Each book’s line and your season over rate at that number, vs the market consensus (34.5 REC YDS). A softer number you’d clear more often is a discount — the best one lifts the FireFactor read. Click a book to switch the whole read to it.
over rate = season hit rate at that line. Edge = points of hit rate vs the consensus line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 60%.