Loading…
Pittsburgh SteelersDarnell Washington
#80 · TE · 6' 7" · 264 lb · 5 games
Stats updated: Nov 1, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Georgia
- Experience
- 5 seasons
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 45.0 REC YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutDarnell Washington isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Washington led the team in receiving yards while finishing tied for second on the team in targets with wide receiver Germie Bernard. The tight end's biggest moment of the game came in the third quarter when he reeled in a short pass from Aaron Rodgers and took off for a 58-yard gain. Washington has corralled 19 of 28 targets for 254 yards and three touchdowns over eight contests to open the 2026 regular season.
Verdict
vs 27.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 34% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)79supports it
Projection vs line34argues against it
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
47.9 REC YDS
L5 45.0 · L10 45.0 · med 27.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 22.4 · ceil 72.4
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 105 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 205 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Season5 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80% | 4/5 | ||
| 60% | 3/5 | ||
| 60% | 3/5 | ||
| 27.5Current | 40% | 2/5 | |
| 40% | 2/5 | ||
| 40% | 2/5 | ||
| 40% | 2/5 |
Situational splits
Over 27.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home67%2/3Low
Away0%0/2Low
Days since last game
3+ days25%1/4Low
Last matchup — vs CLE
Nov 1, 2026
16thof 32 in REC YDS allowed to tight ends
CLE allows 26.3 REC YDS per game to tight ends (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 18 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 5 games, Darnell Washington has gone over 27.5 REC YDS 2 of 5 decided times (40%) — versus 40% across the full season. CLE has been a middling matchup for tight ends this season, allowing the 16th-most REC YDS of 32 teams (26.3 per game). His game-to-game REC YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 30.7), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 40%.