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Indianapolis ColtsDJ Giddens
#21 · RB · 6' 0" · 212 lb · 3 games
Stats updated: Jan 4, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Kansas State
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Line
Rushing Yards · season avg 31.0 RUSH YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutDJ Giddens isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Giddens is no threat to Taylor's status as the Colts' top back, but the 2025 fifth-rounder is competing with Seth McGowan for the No. 2 role. With that in mind, Boyd noted that Giddens has struggled a bit to catch the ball out of the backfield in team drills, but it's early on in training camp, and the Kansas State product has some time to clean that aspect of his game up. Whoever ends up being Taylor's top backup will hold minimal fantasy lineup appeal as long as he's healthy but would be a must-add should Taylor miss time for any reason.
Verdict
vs 29.5 RUSH YDSRushing YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 58% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)99supports it
Projection vs line58neutral
Consistency58neutral
Projection
30.6 RUSH YDS
L5 31.0 · L10 31.0 · med 30.0
Consistency
Steady
floor 25.2 · ceil 36.6
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 53 games
67%over
2 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–94%Last 103 games
67%over
2 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–94%Last 203 games
67%over
2 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–94%Season3 games
67%over
2 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–94%Alternate lines — Rushing Yards (RUSH YDS)
RUSH YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67% | 2/3 | ||
| 67% | 2/3 | ||
| 67% | 2/3 | ||
| 29.5Current | 67% | 2/3 | |
| 33% | 1/3 | ||
| 33% | 1/3 | ||
| 33% | 1/3 |
Situational splits
Over 29.5 RUSH YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home50%1/2Low
Away100%1/1Low
Days since last game
3+ days50%1/2Low
Last matchup — @ HOU
Jan 4, 2026
26thof 32 in RUSH YDS allowed to running backs
HOU allows 44.3 RUSH YDS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 31 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 3 games, DJ Giddens has gone over 29.5 RUSH YDS 2 of 3 decided times (67%) — versus 67% across the full season. HOU has been a tough matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 26th-most RUSH YDS of 32 teams (44.3 per game). His game-to-game RUSH YDS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 7.8), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 67%.