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Tennessee TitansElic Ayomanor
#5 · WR · 6' 2" · 206 lb · 14 games
Too few games this season to read on their own, so 14 of these 14 are carried over from last season. Expect this read to move as the season fills in.
Stats updated: Sep 20, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Stanford
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 34.6 REC YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutElic Ayomanor isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Ayomanor doubled his catches Sunday compared to Week 1 against the Jets. He connected with Cam Ward on a 28-yard pass late in the second quarter that led to a 37-yard field goal by Joey Slye at the end of the first half. Ayomanor was then responsible for the game's longest play with a 41-yard catch in the fourth quarter, hurdling defensive back Marcus Epps in the process. Ayomanor played only 28 of 53 offensive snaps (52.8 percent), third-most among Titans wide receivers. However, his 69 receiving yards are a career high, and he's recorded at least 50 receiving yards in three of his last five regular-season games dating back to the 2025 campaign. The Titans will hit the road for Week 3 against the Giants on Sept. 27.
Verdict
vs 37.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 53% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)54neutral
Projection vs line53neutral
Consistency18argues against it
Projection
36.3 REC YDS(×0.97 context)
L5 32.2 · L10 33.3 · med 33.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 16.0 · ceil 50.8
Matchup
NR
small sample
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
40%over
4 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%Last 2014 games
50%over
7 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 27%–73%Season14 games
50%over
7 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 27%–73%Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57% | 8/14 | ||
| 57% | 8/14 | ||
| 57% | 8/14 | ||
| 37.5Current | 50% | 7/14 | |
| 43% | 6/14 | ||
| 43% | 6/14 | ||
| 43% | 6/14 |
Situational splits
Over 37.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home50%4/8Low
Away50%3/6Low
Days since last game
3+ days54%7/13Low
Next matchup — @ NYG
Sep 27, 2026
29thof 32 in REC YDS allowed to wide receivers
NYG allows 31.3 REC YDS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 3 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Elic Ayomanor has gone over 37.5 REC YDS 4 of 10 decided times (40%) — versus 50% across the full season. NYG has been a tough matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 29th-most REC YDS of 32 teams (31.3 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game REC YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 17.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.