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Tennessee TitansElic Ayomanor
#5 · WR · 6' 2" · 206 lb · 14 games
Stats updated: Jan 4, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Stanford
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 34.6 REC YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutElic Ayomanor isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
As a rookie, the 2025 fourth-rounder logged a 41/515/4 receiving mark on 89 targets in 16 regular-season contests, while fellow fourth-round choice Chimere Dike put up a 48/423/4 mark (on 74 targets). However, with Robinson and Tate on board and slated to command their share of targets in 2026, both Ayomanor and Dike face obstacles to steady volume in their second pro campaigns, especially given that Calvin Ridley -- who was limited to seven games last year -- remains in the mix. In that context, Ayomanor brings modest fantasy lineup appeal to the table out of the gate this season unless injuries hit Tennessee's pass-catching corps in advance of Week 1.
Verdict
vs 37.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 45% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)54neutral
Projection vs line45neutral
Consistency18argues against it
Projection
39.5 REC YDS(×1.05 context)
L5 32.2 · L10 33.3 · med 33.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 16.0 · ceil 50.8
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
40%over
4 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%Last 2014 games
50%over
7 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 27%–73%Season14 games
50%over
7 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 27%–73%Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57% | 8/14 | ||
| 57% | 8/14 | ||
| 57% | 8/14 | ||
| 37.5Current | 50% | 7/14 | |
| 43% | 6/14 | ||
| 43% | 6/14 | ||
| 43% | 6/14 |
Situational splits
Over 37.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home50%4/8Low
Away50%3/6Low
Days since last game
3+ days54%7/13Low
Last matchup — @ JAX
Jan 4, 2026
19thof 32 in REC YDS allowed to wide receivers
JAX allows 41.4 REC YDS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 61 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Elic Ayomanor has gone over 37.5 REC YDS 4 of 10 decided times (40%) — versus 50% across the full season. JAX has been a middling matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 19th-most REC YDS of 32 teams (41.4 per game). His game-to-game REC YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 17.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.