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Tennessee TitansElic Ayomanor Receptions
Stats updated: Sep 13, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Elic Ayomanor has gone over 2.5 REC in 6 of his last 10 decided games (60%), measured against our typical-game line.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Stanford
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Line
Receptions · season avg 2.8 REC · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutElic Ayomanor isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Ayomanor played as the Titans' WR4, seeing 26 snaps behind Carnell Tate (44), Wan'Dale Robinson (41) and Calvin Ridley (32). It was Ayomanor who accounted for the team's lone touchdown, but he's going to need an injury or two ahead of him to have any chance at fantasy viability in a Tennessee passing offense that is in the conversation as the worst in the league.
Verdict
vs 2.5 RECReceptionsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 54% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)72supports it
Projection vs line54neutral
Consistency44neutral
Projection
2.8 REC(×0.97 context)
L5 2.6 · L10 2.7 · med 3.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 2.0 · ceil 4.0
Matchup
NR
small sample
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
60%over
6 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 31%–83%Last 2014 games
57%over
8 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 33%–79%Season14 games
57%over
8 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 33%–79%Alternate lines — Receptions (REC)
REC over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | 14/14 | ||
| 93% | 13/14 | ||
| 2.5Current | 57% | 8/14 | |
| 29% | 4/14 | ||
| 0% | 0/14 | ||
| 0% | 0/14 |
Situational splits
Over 2.5 REC by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home63%5/8Low
Away50%3/6Low
Days since last game
3+ days62%8/13Low
Next matchup — @ NYG
Sep 27, 2026
15thof 32 in REC allowed to wide receivers
NYG allows 3.3 REC per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 3 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Elic Ayomanor has gone over 2.5 REC 6 of 10 decided times (60%) — versus 57% across the full season. NYG has been a middling matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 15th-most REC of 32 teams (3.3 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game REC have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 0.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 57%.
More Elic Ayomanor research
Elic Ayomanor — full profile→
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Ayomanor Targets→
Targets hit rates and trends.
Ayomanor Receiving TDs→
Receiving TDs hit rates and trends.
Ayomanor Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)→
Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) hit rates and trends.
Defense vs Position→
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
NFL Heat Check→
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.