Seattle Seahawks

George Holani Rushing TDs

Stats updated: Sep 9, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

George Holani has gone over 0.5 RUSH TD in 1 of his last 4 decided games (25%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Boise State
Experience: 4 seasons

Line

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PrizePicksRushing TDs · season avg 0.3 RUSH TD · PrizePicks line

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OutGeorge Holani isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

The change-of-pace back ironically logged just two fewer carries than lead runner Jadarian Price while also being a complete non-factor as a pass catcher. Holani ran reasonably well against a tough Patriots front, and his carry total served as the second-highest tally of his career. Holani should continue to see 8-to-10 touches per game as a complementary option while Zach Charbonnet (knee) remains on the PUP list.

Verdict

vs 0.5 RUSH TDRushing TDs

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 21% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)19argues against it

Projection vs line33argues against it

Consistency0argues against it

Projection

0.2 RUSH TD(×0.99 context)

L5 0.3 · L10 0.3 · med 0.0

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 0.0 · ceil 0.4

Matchup

small sample

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 54 games

25%over

1 over · 3 under

Low confidence95% CI 5%–70%

Last 104 games

25%over

1 over · 3 under

Low confidence95% CI 5%–70%

Last 204 games

25%over

1 over · 3 under

Low confidence95% CI 5%–70%

Season4 games

25%over

1 over · 3 under

Low confidence95% CI 5%–70%

Alternate lines — Rushing TDs (RUSH TD)

RUSH TD over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate RUSH TD line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
0.5Current	25%	1/4
	0%	0/4
	0%	0/4
	0%	0/4

Last 4 games — RUSH TD per game vs. line 0.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 0.5 RUSH TD by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home25%1/4Low

Days since last game

3+ days33%1/3Low

Next matchup — @ ARI

Sep 20, 2026

9thof 32 in RUSH TD allowed to running backs

ARI allows 0.5 RUSH TD per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 2 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution

Favorable

The read

Over his last 4 games, George Holani has gone over 0.5 RUSH TD 1 of 4 decided times (25%) — versus 25% across the full season. ARI has been a favorable matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 9th-most RUSH TD of 32 teams (0.5 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game RUSH TD have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.4), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate. This demon/goblin/alternate line pays the over only — no under to price.

Over oddsOver only — this payout variant doesn't take an under.

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 25%.