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Cleveland BrownsHarold Fannin Jr.
#44 · TE · 6' 4" · 241 lb · 6 games
Stats updated: Nov 1, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Bowling Green
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 63.5 REC YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutHarold Fannin Jr. isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Coach Todd Monken said Fannin is "a little sore" but will be out there against New Orleans. On paper, it's a great spot for Fannin, but playing at less than 100 percent knocks him down a peg as a backend TE1 for fantasy.
Verdict
vs 52.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 36% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)52neutral
Projection vs line36argues against it
Consistency0argues against it
Matchup0argues against it
Projection
76.8 REC YDS(×1.03 context)
L5 65.4 · L10 63.5 · med 52.5
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 27.0 · ceil 91.0
Matchup
A
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 106 games
50%over
3 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–81%Last 206 games
50%over
3 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–81%Season6 games
50%over
3 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–81%Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67% | 4/6 | ||
| 67% | 4/6 | ||
| 50% | 3/6 | ||
| 52.5Current | 50% | 3/6 | |
| 50% | 3/6 | ||
| 33% | 2/6 | ||
| 33% | 2/6 |
Situational splits
Over 52.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home0%0/2Low
Away75%3/4Low
Days since last game
3+ days40%2/5Low
Next matchup — @ NO
Nov 8, 2026
4thof 32 in REC YDS allowed to tight ends
NO allows 31.9 REC YDS per game to tight ends (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 15 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 6 games, Harold Fannin Jr. has gone over 52.5 REC YDS 3 of 6 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. NO has been a favorable matchup for tight ends this season, allowing the 4th-most REC YDS of 32 teams (31.9 per game). His game-to-game REC YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 48.4), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.