Detroit Lions

Isaac TeSlaa Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Stats updated: Sep 17, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Isaac TeSlaa has gone over 4.5 FS in 5 of his last 6 decided games (83%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Arkansas
Experience: 3 seasons

Line

PrizePicksFantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 9.2 FS · PrizePicks line

Save this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it

PrizePicks payout options — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)

Pick any line — standard, demon (harder, pays more), goblin (easier, pays less), or an alternate with its payout multiplier — and the whole read updates to it. Only the standard line takes an under; every other variant pays the over only. Each rung’s FireFactor is scored against its OWN payout breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for that payout, not a coin flip — so rungs compare directly. The bar uses the best information available: an exact posted multiplier, else the market’s de-vigged sportsbook odds at that exact line, else a published-payout approximation.

How PrizePicks payouts work with demons & goblins

Typical entry payouts (verify in the app — they change and can vary by state): Power Play 2-pick 3×, 3-pick 5×, 4-pick 10×. Flex Play 3-pick 2.25× (1.25× one miss), 4-pick 5× (1.5× one miss), 5-pick 10× (2× / 0.4× on misses), 6-pick 25× (2× / 0.4× on misses).

Demons: Adding a demon raises the whole entry’s payout multiple (a harder line buys a bigger multiplier). Demons can only be taken as More.

Goblins: Adding a goblin lowers the whole entry’s payout multiple (an easier line costs payout). Goblins can only be taken as More and aren’t combinable with everything — the app shows the exact adjusted payout.

OutIsaac TeSlaa isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

TeSlaa did not record a catch during the Lions' Week 1 overtime win over the Saints, but the second-year pro hauled in his first pass from Jared Goff on the season with a six-yard reception early in the third quarter before the duo connected on a 20-yard pass in the fourth. TeSlaa played 49 of the Lions' 65 offensive snaps in Thursday's loss, but he's clearly below Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jameson Williams, tight end Sam LaPorta and running back Jahmyr Gibbs in Detroit's pecking order. Courtesy of their TNF showdown, the Lions will have additional rest before a Week 3 home tilt against the Jets on Sunday, Sept. 27.

Verdict

vs 4.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 90% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line90supports it

Consistency4argues against it

Projection

11.1 FS(×1.18 context)

L5 11.0 · L10 9.2 · med 10.8

Consistency

Variable

floor 4.6 · ceil 13.9

Matchup

small sample

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Open this line on PrizePicks→

Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.

Last 55 games

100%over

5 over · 0 under

Medium confidence95% CI 57%–100%

Last 106 games

83%over

5 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 44%–97%

Last 206 games

83%over

5 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 44%–97%

Season6 games

83%over

5 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 44%–97%

Last 6 games — FS per game vs. line 4.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 4.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home100%3/3Low

Away67%2/3Low

Days since last game

3+ days100%5/5Medium

Next matchup — vs NYJ

Sep 27, 2026

23rdof 32 in FS allowed to wide receivers

NYJ allows 8.2 FS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 3 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution

Tough

The read

Over his last 6 games, Isaac TeSlaa has gone over 4.5 FS 5 of 6 decided times (83%) — versus 83% across the full season. NYJ has been a tough matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 23rd-most FS of 32 teams (8.2 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game FS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 5.3), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 83%.