Arizona Cardinals

Jeremiyah Love Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Stats updated: Nov 1, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Jeremiyah Love has gone over 6.5 FS in 3 of his last 5 decided games (60%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Notre Dame
Experience: Rookie

Line

PrizePicksFantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 8.9 FS · our line

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OutJeremiyah Love isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Right Ankle Sprain
Est. return:: Dec 6, 2026

Love's move to IR was fully expected, after Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reported earlier Tuesday that the rookie first-round pick was diagnosed with a right high-ankle sprain and was facing a projected recovery timeline of 4-to-5 weeks. While Love is on the mend, Tyler Allgeier is expected to step into a lead role out of the Arizona backfield beginning with the team's Week 9 game against Seattle.

Verdict

vs 6.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 55% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)78supports it

Projection vs line55neutral

Consistency0argues against it

Matchup50neutral

Projection

7.2 FS(×0.95 context)

L5 8.1 · L10 8.9 · med 7.0

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 2.3 · ceil 13.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 55 games

50%over

2 over · 2 under · 1 push

Low confidence95% CI 15%–85%

Last 106 games

60%over

3 over · 2 under · 1 push

Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%

Last 206 games

60%over

3 over · 2 under · 1 push

Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%

Season6 games

60%over

3 over · 2 under · 1 push

Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%

Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)

FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate FS line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	67%	4/6
	67%	4/6
	67%	4/6
6.5Current	60%	3/5
	40%	2/5
	33%	2/6
	33%	2/6

Last 6 games — FS per game vs. line 6.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 6.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home50%1/2Low

Away67%2/3Low

Days since last game

3+ days50%2/4Low

Next matchup — @ SEA

Nov 8, 2026

15thof 32 in FS allowed to running backs

SEA allows 10.5 FS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 16 player-games

Neutral

The read

Over his last 6 games, Jeremiyah Love has gone over 6.5 FS 3 of 5 decided times (60%) — versus 60% across the full season. SEA has been a middling matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 15th-most FS of 32 teams (10.5 per game). His game-to-game FS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 6.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 60%.