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Arizona CardinalsJeremiyah Love
#4 · RB · 6' 0" · 212 lb · 2 games
Stats updated: Sep 20, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Notre Dame
- Experience
- Rookie
Line
Rushing Yards · season avg 35.0 RUSH YDS · PrizePicks lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
PrizePicks payout options — Rushing Yards (RUSH YDS)
Pick any line — standard, demon (harder, pays more), goblin (easier, pays less), or an alternate with its payout multiplier — and the whole read updates to it. Only the standard line takes an under; every other variant pays the over only. Each rung’s FireFactor is scored against its OWN payout breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for that payout, not a coin flip — so rungs compare directly. The bar uses the best information available: an exact posted multiplier, else the market’s de-vigged sportsbook odds at that exact line, else a published-payout approximation.
How PrizePicks payouts work with demons & goblins
Typical entry payouts (verify in the app — they change and can vary by state): Power Play 2-pick 3×, 3-pick 5×, 4-pick 10×. Flex Play 3-pick 2.25× (1.25× one miss), 4-pick 5× (1.5× one miss), 5-pick 10× (2× / 0.4× on misses), 6-pick 25× (2× / 0.4× on misses).
Demons: Adding a demon raises the whole entry’s payout multiple (a harder line buys a bigger multiplier). Demons can only be taken as More.
Goblins: Adding a goblin lowers the whole entry’s payout multiple (an easier line costs payout). Goblins can only be taken as More and aren’t combinable with everything — the app shows the exact adjusted payout.
OutOutJeremiyah Love isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Love and the rest of the Cardinals' offense mustered only a combined 151 total yards Sunday. The running back was able to reel in multiple catches for the second straight week to open the regular season, and he saw 12 touches to Tyler Allgeier's seven in the contest. Arizona will have another tough test with a road matchup against the 49ers (2-0) in Week 3, but Love figures to continue to separate from the pack as the Cardinals' clear No. 1 option at running back moving forward.
Verdict
vs 37.5 RUSH YDSRushing YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 20% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)50neutral
Projection vs line20argues against it
Consistency71supports it
Projection
31.9 RUSH YDS(×0.92 context)
L5 35.0 · L10 35.0 · med 35.0
Consistency
Steady
floor 31.4 · ceil 38.6
Matchup
NR
small sample
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 52 games
50%over
1 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%Last 102 games
50%over
1 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%Last 202 games
50%over
1 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%Season2 games
50%over
1 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%Situational splits
Over 37.5 RUSH YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home0%0/1Low
Away100%1/1Low
Days since last game
3+ days0%0/1Low
Next matchup — @ SF
Sep 27, 2026
15thof 32 in RUSH YDS allowed to running backs
SF allows 47.0 RUSH YDS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 4 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
NeutralThe read
Over his last 2 games, Jeremiyah Love has gone over 37.5 RUSH YDS 1 of 2 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. SF has been a middling matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 15th-most RUSH YDS of 32 teams (47.0 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game RUSH YDS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 6.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Market edgeauto
3 books @ 36.5 RUSH YDS- No-vig fair (over)
- 50.2%
- No-vig fair (under)
- 49.8%
Best Over
FanDuel-113
-5.4% EV
Best Under
BetRivers-112
-5.7% EV
Model vs market (over)-30.4%
Our model puts the over at 19.8% vs the market's no-vig 50.2%. A comparison of two numbers — not a guarantee.
Line shopping — Rushing Yards (RUSH YDS)
Each book’s line and your season over rate at that number, vs the market consensus (37 RUSH YDS). A softer number you’d clear more often is a discount — the best one lifts the FireFactor read. Click a book to switch the whole read to it.
over rate = season hit rate at that line. Edge = points of hit rate vs the consensus line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.