Arizona Cardinals

Jeremiyah Love Receiving TDs

Stats updated: Sep 13, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Jeremiyah Love has gone over 0.5 REC TD in 0 of his last 1 decided games (0%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Notre Dame
Experience: Rookie

Line

PrizePicksReceiving TDs · season avg 0.0 REC TD · our line

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OutJeremiyah Love isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

The rookie had been managing a high-ankle sprain for several weeks, but Love looked to be at full health when he capped off the Cardinals' first possession of the season with a five-yard scoring run around left end. Love found running room mostly at a premium the rest of the afternoon, and he ultimately finished with six fewer carries than veteran backfield mate Tyler Allgeier. Nevertheless, Love's usage also may have been the byproduct of a cautionary approach due to the first-round pick's lack of practice time this summer, and the Notre Dame product therefore could be in store for a larger workload in a Week 2 home showdown against the Seahawks next Sunday.

Verdict

vs 0.5 REC TDReceiving TDs

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 100% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line95supports it

Projection

0.0 REC TD(×0.92 context)

L5 0.0 · L10 0.0 · med 0.0

Consistency

Variable

floor 0.0 · ceil 0.0

Matchup

small sample

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 51 game

0%over

0 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–79%

Last 101 game

0%over

0 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–79%

Last 201 game

0%over

0 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–79%

Season1 game

0%over

0 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–79%

Alternate lines — Receiving TDs (REC TD)

REC TD over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate REC TD line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
0.5Current	0%	0/1
	0%	0/1
	0%	0/1
	0%	0/1

Last 1 games — REC TD per game vs. line 0.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 0.5 REC TD by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Away0%0/1Low

Next matchup — vs SEA

Sep 20, 2026

8thof 32 in REC TD allowed to running backs

SEA allows 0.0 REC TD per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 2 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution

Favorable

The read

Over his last 1 games, Jeremiyah Love has gone over 0.5 REC TD 0 of 1 decided times (0%) — versus 0% across the full season. SEA has been a favorable matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 8th-most REC TD of 32 teams (0.0 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game REC TD have been variable (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 0%.