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Dallas CowboysJonathan Mingo
#81 · WR · 6' 2" · 225 lb · 5 games
Stats updated: Jan 4, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Ole Miss
- Experience
- 5 seasons
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 5.0 REC YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutJonathan Mingo isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Mingo has been dealing with a minor groin strain since early June. The wide receiver has finally recovered from the issue and is all set to perform at his best in training camp for a chance to move up the Cowboys' depth chart. Mingo will need to outshine Marquez Valdes-Scantling, KaVontae Turpin and Ryan Flournoy for a chance at high-value snaps during the 2026 season.
Verdict
vs 0.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 47% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line47neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
4.1 REC YDS
L5 5.0 · L10 5.0 · med 0.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 5.0
Matchup
B
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
20%over
1 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%Last 105 games
20%over
1 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%Last 205 games
20%over
1 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%Season5 games
20%over
1 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 20% | 1/5 | |
| 20% | 1/5 | ||
| 20% | 1/5 | ||
| 20% | 1/5 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home50%1/2Low
Away0%0/3Low
Days since last game
3+ days25%1/4Low
Last matchup — @ NYG
Jan 4, 2026
13thof 32 in REC YDS allowed to wide receivers
NYG allows 43.1 REC YDS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 57 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 5 games, Jonathan Mingo has gone over 0.5 REC YDS 1 of 5 decided times (20%) — versus 20% across the full season. NYG has been a middling matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 13th-most REC YDS of 32 teams (43.1 per game). His game-to-game REC YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 10.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 20%.