Dallas Cowboys

Jonathan Mingo Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Stats updated: Sep 13, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Jonathan Mingo has gone over 0.5 FS in 2 of his last 6 decided games (33%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Ole Miss
Experience: 5 seasons

Line

PrizePicksFantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 0.9 FS · our line

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OutJonathan Mingo isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Mingo played 11 of 58 offensive snaps and six special-teams snaps in Sunday's contest. The wide receiver seems to be getting mixed in on snaps when CeeDee Lamb, George Pickens or Ryan Flournoy need a break. Mingo remains the fifth option for the Cowboys wide-receiver corps and will likely continue to see minimal opportunities in a highly competitive room.

Verdict

vs 0.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 44% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)98supports it

Projection vs line44neutral

Consistency0argues against it

Projection

1.0 FS(×1.08 context)

L5 1.1 · L10 0.9 · med 0.0

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 0.0 · ceil 2.0

Matchup

small sample

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 55 games

40%over

2 over · 3 under

Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%

Last 106 games

33%over

2 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 10%–70%

Last 206 games

33%over

2 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 10%–70%

Season6 games

33%over

2 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 10%–70%

Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)

FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate FS line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
0.5Current	33%	2/6
	33%	2/6
	17%	1/6
	0%	0/5

Last 6 games — FS per game vs. line 0.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 0.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home50%1/2Low

Away25%1/4Low

Days since last game

3+ days40%2/5Low

Next matchup — vs WSH

Sep 20, 2026

20thof 32 in FS allowed to wide receivers

WSH allows 8.7 FS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 3 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution

Neutral

The read

Over his last 6 games, Jonathan Mingo has gone over 0.5 FS 2 of 6 decided times (33%) — versus 33% across the full season. WSH has been a middling matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 20th-most FS of 32 teams (8.7 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game FS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 1.4), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 33%.