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Arizona CardinalsJosiah Deguara
#45 · WR · 4 games
Stats updated: Jan 4, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 5.3 REC YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutJosiah Deguara isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Deguara was a third-round pick of the Packers in the 2020 NFL Draft and has played for three different franchises across his six-year career. He appeared in 12 regular-season games for the Cardinals in 2025, when he contributed mostly on special teams while logging three catches (on five targets) for 21 yards and a touchdown. Deguara gives the 49ers some extra depth at tight end while George Kittle continues to be sidelined by a torn right Achilles that he suffered in January.
Verdict
vs 3.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 63% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)50neutral
Projection vs line63supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Matchup75supports it
Projection
6.1 REC YDS(×1.04 context)
L5 5.3 · L10 5.3 · med 3.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 9.6
Matchup
B
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 54 games
50%over
2 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 15%–85%Last 104 games
50%over
2 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 15%–85%Last 204 games
50%over
2 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 15%–85%Season4 games
50%over
2 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 15%–85%Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50% | 2/4 | ||
| 50% | 2/4 | ||
| 50% | 2/4 | ||
| 3.5Current | 50% | 2/4 | |
| 50% | 2/4 | ||
| 50% | 2/4 | ||
| 25% | 1/4 |
Situational splits
Over 3.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home33%1/3Low
Away100%1/1Low
Days since last game
3+ days33%1/3Low
Next matchup — vs CAR
Aug 7, 2026
10thof 32 in REC YDS allowed to wide receivers
CAR allows 46.4 REC YDS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 53 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 4 games, Josiah Deguara has gone over 3.5 REC YDS 2 of 4 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. CAR has been a favorable matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 10th-most REC YDS of 32 teams (46.4 per game). His game-to-game REC YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 6.1), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.