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Las Vegas RaidersKirk Cousins
#8 · QB · 6' 3" · 209 lb · 8 games
Stats updated: Nov 1, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Michigan State
- Experience
- 16 seasons
Line
Passing Yards · season avg 265.5 PASS YDS · PrizePicks lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
PrizePicks payout options — Passing Yards (PASS YDS)
Pick any line — standard, demon (harder, pays more), goblin (easier, pays less), or an alternate with its payout multiplier — and the whole read updates to it. Only the standard line takes an under; every other variant pays the over only. Each rung’s FireFactor is scored against its OWN payout breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for that payout, not a coin flip — so rungs compare directly. The bar uses the best information available: an exact posted multiplier, else the market’s de-vigged sportsbook odds at that exact line, else a published-payout approximation.
How PrizePicks payouts work with demons & goblins
Typical entry payouts (verify in the app — they change and can vary by state): Power Play 2-pick 3×, 3-pick 5×, 4-pick 10×. Flex Play 3-pick 2.25× (1.25× one miss), 4-pick 5× (1.5× one miss), 5-pick 10× (2× / 0.4× on misses), 6-pick 25× (2× / 0.4× on misses).
Demons: Adding a demon raises the whole entry’s payout multiple (a harder line buys a bigger multiplier). Demons can only be taken as More.
Goblins: Adding a goblin lowers the whole entry’s payout multiple (an easier line costs payout). Goblins can only be taken as More and aren’t combinable with everything — the app shows the exact adjusted payout.
OutOutKirk Cousins isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Cousins connected with Brock Bowers for touchdowns of 12 and two yards before scoring on a QB sneak in the third quarter for the 38-year-old QB's first rushing TD of the season and second rushing score since the start of the 2023 regular season. Cousins added a go-ahead two-yard touchdown pass to Jalen Nailor in the fourth quarter to take a 35-30 lead with 11:33 remaining. This was Cousins' fourth three-touchdown passing performance of the season but first since Week 4. All four of those three-TD outings came in Vegas wins, and Cousins has added seven touchdown passes in the Raiders' four losses to bring his TD:INT to 19:5 heading into a Week 9 trip to San Francisco.
Verdict
vs 249.5 PASS YDSPassing YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 59% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)51neutral
Projection vs line59neutral
Consistency65supports it
Projection
269.3 PASS YDS(×0.99 context)
L5 292.6 · L10 265.5 · med 250.5
Consistency
Steady
floor 244.6 · ceil 305.8
Matchup
NR
small sample
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 108 games
50%over
4 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 22%–78%Last 208 games
50%over
4 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 22%–78%Season8 games
50%over
4 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 22%–78%Situational splits
Over 249.5 PASS YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home75%3/4Low
Away25%1/4Low
Days since last game
3+ days57%4/7Low
Next matchup — @ SF
Nov 8, 2026
19thof 32 in PASS YDS allowed to quarterbacks
SF allows 222.0 PASS YDS per game to quarterbacks (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 7 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
NeutralThe read
Over his last 8 games, Kirk Cousins has gone over 249.5 PASS YDS 4 of 8 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. SF has been a middling matchup for quarterbacks this season, allowing the 19th-most PASS YDS of 32 teams (222.0 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game PASS YDS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 56.4), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Market edgeauto
3 books @ 246.5 PASS YDS- No-vig fair (over)
- 50.2%
- No-vig fair (under)
- 49.8%
Best Over
DraftKings-113
-5.4% EV
Best Under
DraftKings-111
-5.4% EV
Model vs market (over)+8.3%
Our model puts the over at 58.5% vs the market's no-vig 50.2%. A comparison of two numbers — not a guarantee.
Line shopping — Passing Yards (PASS YDS)
Each book’s line and your season over rate at that number, vs the market consensus (248.5 PASS YDS). A softer number you’d clear more often is a discount — the best one lifts the FireFactor read. Click a book to switch the whole read to it.
over rate = season hit rate at that line. Edge = points of hit rate vs the consensus line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.