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Las Vegas RaidersKirk Cousins Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)
Stats updated: Sep 20, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Kirk Cousins has gone over 11.5 FS in 6 of his last 10 decided games (60%), measured against our typical-game line.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Michigan State
- Experience
- 16 seasons
Line
Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 14.2 FS · PrizePicks lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutKirk Cousins isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Cousins' crisp and nearly mistake-free performance was critical to the Raiders pulling off a significant upset over their divisional rival. The veteran signal-caller validated head coach Klint Kubiak's decision to open the season with him as the starter over first overall pick Fernando Mendoza, with Cousins delivering a 40-yard strike to Tre Tucker in the first quarter and 13- and 11-yard scoring tosses to Cody White in the third and fourth quarters, respectively. Cousins has shown very good command of Kubiak's offense over the first two games, and he'll take a 67.8 percent completion rate and a 6:3 TD:INT into an intriguing interconference road matchup against the Saints next Sunday.
Verdict
vs 11.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)No readFireFactor 0/100· model 57% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)79supports it
Projection vs line57neutral
Consistency24argues against it
Projection
13.5 FS(×0.88 context)
L5 15.0 · L10 14.2 · med 14.4
Consistency
Variable
floor 8.7 · ceil 19.1
Matchup
NR
small sample
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
60%over
6 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 31%–83%Last 2010 games
60%over
6 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 31%–83%Season10 games
60%over
6 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 31%–83%Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)
FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80% | 8/10 | ||
| 70% | 7/10 | ||
| 60% | 6/10 | ||
| 11.5Current | 60% | 6/10 | |
| 60% | 6/10 | ||
| 50% | 5/10 | ||
| 50% | 5/10 |
Situational splits
Over 11.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home20%1/5Low
Away100%5/5Medium
Days since last game
3+ days67%6/9Low
Next matchup — @ NO
Sep 27, 2026
18thof 32 in FS allowed to quarterbacks
NO allows 16.1 FS per game to quarterbacks (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 2 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Kirk Cousins has gone over 11.5 FS 6 of 10 decided times (60%) — versus 60% across the full season. NO has been a middling matchup for quarterbacks this season, allowing the 18th-most FS of 32 teams (16.1 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game FS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 6.5), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 60%.
More Kirk Cousins research
Kirk Cousins — full profile→
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Cousins Passing TDs→
Passing TDs hit rates and trends.
Cousins Completions→
Completions hit rates and trends.
Cousins Rushing Yards→
Rushing Yards hit rates and trends.
Defense vs Position→
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
NFL Heat Check→
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.