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Los Angeles RamsKyren Williams
#23 · RB · 5' 9" · 207 lb · 20 games
Stats updated: Jan 25, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Notre Dame
- Experience
- 6 seasons
Line
Rushing Yards · season avg 71.8 RUSH YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutKyren Williams isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
During the 2025 regular season, Williams carried 259 times for 1,252 yards and 10 rushing TDs while adding 36 catches for 281 yards and three receiving scores in 17 games. In that same span, Corum rushed for 746 yards (on 145 carries) and six TDs and caught eight passes for 36 yards in his second campaign as a pro. Looking ahead, that 1-2 punch, which paced the league's No. 7 rushing attack last season, is intact for 2026, which sets Williams up for another year of fantasy utility. Beyond the Rams' top duo, Ronnie Rivers is back as the team's RB3, while Jarquez Hunter, Jordan Waters and Dean Connors round out the backfield depth chart ahead of training camp.
Verdict
vs 71.5 RUSH YDSRushing YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 60% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)51neutral
Projection vs line60supports it
Consistency58neutral
Projection
63.9 RUSH YDS(×0.96 context)
L5 67.0 · L10 68.5 · med 71.0
Consistency
Steady
floor 56.4 · ceil 87.8
Matchup
F
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Last 2020 games
50%over
10 over · 10 under
Medium confidence95% CI 30%–70%Season20 games
50%over
10 over · 10 under
Medium confidence95% CI 30%–70%Alternate lines — Rushing Yards (RUSH YDS)
RUSH YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55% | 11/20 | ||
| 55% | 11/20 | ||
| 50% | 10/20 | ||
| 71.5Current | 50% | 10/20 | |
| 45% | 9/20 | ||
| 40% | 8/20 | ||
| 40% | 8/20 |
Situational splits
Over 71.5 RUSH YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home50%4/8Low
Away50%6/12Low
Days since last game
3+ days53%10/19Medium
Last matchup — @ SEA
Jan 25, 2026
32ndof 32 in RUSH YDS allowed to running backs
SEA allows 34.7 RUSH YDS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 41 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Kyren Williams has gone over 71.5 RUSH YDS 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. SEA has been a tough matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 32nd-most RUSH YDS of 32 teams (34.7 per game). His game-to-game RUSH YDS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 18.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.